Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SC Wiener Viktoria

Team pages: SR Fach-Donaufeld · SC Wiener Viktoria

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

SR Fach-Donaufeld1.81

SC Wiener Viktoria1.31

1X2

49% 24% 27%

SR Fach-Donaufeld Draw SC Wiener Viktoria

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SR Fach-Donaufeld 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLWLD

SC Wiener Viktoria 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLLWLDW

Head-to-head

SR Fach-Donaufeld 1–2–3 SC Wiener Viktoria (6 last)

SR Fach-Donaufeld0-1SC Wiener Viktoria
SC Wiener Viktoria2-1SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld3-0SC Wiener Viktoria
SC Wiener Viktoria0-0SR Fach-Donaufeld
SC Wiener Viktoria3-2SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld0-0SC Wiener Viktoria

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1469 · SC Wiener Viktoria 1526

	SR Fach-Donaufeld	Draw	SC Wiener Viktoria
Our model	48%	25%	27%
Market	49%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Wiener Viktoria (rating 1469 vs 1526).
H2H favours SC Wiener Viktoria: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SR Fach-Donaufeld	SC Wiener Viktoria
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	1.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.5	2.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:09 +6’	1.83	3.80	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1–2–3 SC Wiener Viktoria

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	0-1 HT 0-0	SC Wiener Viktoria
11/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SC Wiener Viktoria	2-1 HT 2-0	SR Fach-Donaufeld
10/05/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	3-0 HT 2-0	SC Wiener Viktoria
12/10/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SC Wiener Viktoria	0-0 HT 0-0	SR Fach-Donaufeld
25/05/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SC Wiener Viktoria	3-2 HT 2-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld
28/10/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	0-0 HT 0-0	SC Wiener Viktoria

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	6	5	0	1	19	6	15
2	Wiener Sportclub	6	4	1	1	11	3	13
3	Oberwart	6	4	0	2	13	8	12
4	Parndorf	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
5	SR Fach-Donaufeld	6	3	1	2	5	7	10
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	6	3	1	2	9	12	10
7	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	6	3	0	3	8	6	9
8	Favoritner AC	6	3	0	3	6	4	9
9	SV Horn	6	2	2	2	6	4	8
10	FCM Traiskirchen	5	2	2	1	13	12	8
11	SV Gloggnitz	6	2	1	3	9	11	7
12	SC Wiener Viktoria	6	2	1	3	10	9	7
13	SV Donau	6	1	3	2	7	13	6
14	SV Leobendorf	6	1	2	3	6	10	5
15	Kremser SC	5	0	2	3	4	9	2
16	SV Wienerberg	6	0	0	6	5	22	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SR Fach-Donaufeld	SC Wiener Viktoria
Wiener Sportclub	0-0 D	0-3 L
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	0-2 L	3-1 W
Favoritner AC	1-0 W	0-1 L
Oberwart	1-4 L	1-2 L
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	0-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SR Fach-Donaufeld (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SR Fach-Donaufeld

LWWLWWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
29/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
21/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
14/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
07/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	10	9	W
31/07	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
03/06	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	13	2	L
29/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	4-2	8	1	W
22/05	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
09/05	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-4	4	5	L

SC Wiener Viktoria

LWDWLLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	5-1	8	3	W
29/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	0-3	1	3	L
15/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	1	5	W
07/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
01/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
03/06	Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	5-2	3	5	W
30/05	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
22/05	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
16/05	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SC Wiener Viktoria?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SR Fach-Donaufeld win (49%). Probabilities: SR Fach-Donaufeld 49%, draw 24%, SC Wiener Viktoria 27%.

How many goals are expected in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SC Wiener Viktoria?

The model expects 3.12 goals (SR Fach-Donaufeld 1.81 · SC Wiener Viktoria 1.31), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SC Wiener Viktoria?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.