Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 18/09, 19:10

Prediction: Favoritner AC vs Kremser SC

Team pages: Favoritner AC · Kremser SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Favoritner AC1.3

Kremser SC1.54

1X2

32% 26% 42%

Favoritner AC Draw Kremser SC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Favoritner AC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLLWWL

Kremser SC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLDLDLLW

Head-to-head

Favoritner AC 2–4 Kremser SC (6 last)

Favoritner AC1-2Kremser SC
Kremser SC6-0Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC0-3Kremser SC
Kremser SC2-1Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC1-0Kremser SC
Kremser SC0-2Favoritner AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Favoritner AC 1501 · Kremser SC 1451

	Favoritner AC	Draw	Kremser SC
Our model	31%	27%	42%
Market	32%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Favoritner AC (rating 1501 vs 1451).
H2H favours Kremser SC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Favoritner AC	Kremser SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.3	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:38 +4’	2.80	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Favoritner AC 2–0–4 Kremser SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/03/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	1-2 HT 1-1	Kremser SC
05/09/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	6-0 HT 2-0	Favoritner AC
28/03/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	0-3 HT 0-0	Kremser SC
30/08/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	2-1 HT 1-0	Favoritner AC
22/03/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	1-0 HT 1-0	Kremser SC
25/08/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	0-2 HT 0-0	Favoritner AC

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	7	6	0	1	22	7	18
2	Wiener Sportclub	7	5	1	1	17	3	16
3	Oberwart	7	4	0	3	14	11	12
4	FCM Traiskirchen	6	3	2	1	16	13	11
5	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	7	3	2	2	10	13	11
6	Parndorf	7	3	2	2	13	10	11
7	SC Wiener Viktoria	7	3	1	3	11	9	10
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	7	3	1	3	5	8	10
9	SV Donau	7	2	3	2	11	13	9
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	7	3	0	4	9	8	9
11	Favoritner AC	7	3	0	4	6	8	9
12	SV Horn	7	2	2	3	7	7	8
13	SV Leobendorf	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
14	SV Gloggnitz	7	2	2	3	10	12	8
15	Kremser SC	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
16	SV Wienerberg	7	0	0	7	5	28	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Favoritner AC	Kremser SC
SV Donau	0-4 L	1-1 D
SV Gloggnitz	4-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Favoritner AC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-4	9	2	L
04/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
29/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
21/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
14/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
07/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
31/07	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
06/06	SC Retz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
29/05	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	4-0	7	2	W
22/05	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	8	1	W

Kremser SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-1	6	5	W
28/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
21/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-3	0	8	L
14/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	3	9	D
07/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
31/07	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
05/06	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	2-5	2	2	L
29/05	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	5-1	7	7	W
22/05	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
15/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	5-1	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Favoritner AC vs Kremser SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kremser SC win (42%). Probabilities: Favoritner AC 32%, draw 26%, Kremser SC 42%.

How many goals are expected in Favoritner AC vs Kremser SC?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Favoritner AC 1.3 · Kremser SC 1.54), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Favoritner AC vs Kremser SC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.