Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 16/10, 19:00

Prediction: USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth vs Kremser SC

Team pages: USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth · Kremser SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth1.46

Kremser SC1.69

1X2

32% 25% 42%

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Draw Kremser SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDDWWD

Kremser SC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLWWLWWW

Head-to-head

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1–2 Kremser SC (3 last)

Kremser SC3-0USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth2-3Kremser SC
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth2-1Kremser SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1524 · Kremser SC 1524

	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	Draw	Kremser SC
Our model	32%	26%	42%
Market	33%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kremser SC: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	Kremser SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	70/0/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 3	2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	6.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
05:59 +5’	2.75	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1–0–2 Kremser SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/05/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	3-0 HT 2-0	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
28/10/22 Austria Regionalliga Ost	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	2-3 HT 0-3	Kremser SC
07/11/21 Austria Landesliga	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	2-1 HT 0-1	Kremser SC

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	11	8	1	2	30	10	25
2	Oberwart	11	7	1	3	22	14	22
3	Wiener Sportclub	11	6	2	3	25	12	20
4	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	11	5	4	2	19	19	19
5	FCM Traiskirchen	11	5	3	3	24	21	18
6	Kremser SC	11	5	2	4	18	15	17
7	SC Wiener Viktoria	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	11	5	2	4	13	13	17
9	Parndorf	11	4	3	4	16	15	15
10	SV Leobendorf	11	4	2	5	14	15	14
11	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	11	4	1	6	12	17	13
12	Favoritner AC	11	4	1	6	8	13	13
13	SV Donau	11	2	6	3	17	20	12
14	SV Gloggnitz	11	3	3	5	12	19	12
15	SV Horn	11	3	2	6	14	16	11
16	SV Wienerberg	11	0	1	10	6	36	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	Kremser SC
SV Gloggnitz	1-1 D	1-3 L
SC Wiener Viktoria	1-5 L	1-0 W
Wiener Sportclub	2-1 W	4-3 W
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	0-2 L	3-0 W
Favoritner AC	1-0 W	3-0 W
Oberwart	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kremser SC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth

WWLWLDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
04/10	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
26/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	3-1	5	1	W
20/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	2-2	3	3	D
12/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
05/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-5	3	3	L
28/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-2	2	7	L
14/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
07/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-1	1	5	W

Kremser SC

LDLLWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	8	7	W
02/10	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-2	4-3	2	6	W
25/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-0	2	5	W
22/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	6	8	L
18/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	1	5	W
11/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-1	6	5	W
28/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
21/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-3	0	8	L
14/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	3	9	D
07/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth vs Kremser SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kremser SC win (42%). Probabilities: USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 32%, draw 25%, Kremser SC 42%.

How many goals are expected in USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth vs Kremser SC?

The model expects 3.15 goals (USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1.46 · Kremser SC 1.69), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth vs Kremser SC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.