Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 16/10, 19:10

Prediction: Favoritner AC vs FCM Traiskirchen

Team pages: Favoritner AC · FCM Traiskirchen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Favoritner AC1.22

FCM Traiskirchen1.85

1X2

24% 24% 51%

Favoritner AC Draw FCM Traiskirchen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Favoritner AC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLLLDW

FCM Traiskirchen 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDWLWWLD

Head-to-head

Favoritner AC 3–3 FCM Traiskirchen (6 last)

Favoritner AC3-2FCM Traiskirchen
FCM Traiskirchen4-1Favoritner AC
FCM Traiskirchen3-1Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC2-0FCM Traiskirchen
FCM Traiskirchen2-3Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC1-3FCM Traiskirchen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Favoritner AC 1492 · FCM Traiskirchen 1501

	Favoritner AC	Draw	FCM Traiskirchen
Our model	24%	25%	51%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Favoritner AC	FCM Traiskirchen
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	2.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.9	1.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.80

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.93 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:47 +20’	3.60	3.80	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:17 +46’	3.04	3.60	1.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Favoritner AC 3–0–3 FCM Traiskirchen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	3-2 HT 1-2	FCM Traiskirchen
22/08/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FCM Traiskirchen	4-1 HT 2-1	Favoritner AC
04/04/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FCM Traiskirchen	3-1 HT 3-1	Favoritner AC
06/09/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	2-0 HT 1-0	FCM Traiskirchen
26/04/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FCM Traiskirchen	2-3 HT 0-1	Favoritner AC
29/09/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	1-3 HT 0-1	FCM Traiskirchen

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	11	8	1	2	30	10	25
2	Oberwart	11	7	1	3	22	14	22
3	Wiener Sportclub	11	6	2	3	25	12	20
4	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	11	5	4	2	19	19	19
5	FCM Traiskirchen	11	5	3	3	24	21	18
6	Kremser SC	11	5	2	4	18	15	17
7	SC Wiener Viktoria	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	11	5	2	4	13	13	17
9	Parndorf	11	4	3	4	16	15	15
10	SV Leobendorf	11	4	2	5	14	15	14
11	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	11	4	1	6	12	17	13
12	Favoritner AC	11	4	1	6	8	13	13
13	SV Donau	11	2	6	3	17	20	12
14	SV Gloggnitz	11	3	3	5	12	19	12
15	SV Horn	11	3	2	6	14	16	11
16	SV Wienerberg	11	0	1	10	6	36	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Favoritner AC	FCM Traiskirchen
SV Horn	1-0 W	4-3 W
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-1 D	1-3 L
Parndorf	0-1 L	3-1 W
Kremser SC	0-3 L	2-0 W
SV Donau	0-4 L	1-1 D
SV Leobendorf	3-0 W	5-4 W
SV Wienerberg	2-0 W	4-3 W
SR Fach-Donaufeld	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Favoritner AC

WLLWWLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	10	5	W
02/10	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
25/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
18/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	7	5	L
11/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-4	9	2	L
04/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
29/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
21/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
14/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
07/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	2	W

FCM Traiskirchen

LWWDWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
02/10	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
25/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	4-3	1	4	W
22/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
18/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
11/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	3-1	3	6	W
28/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
21/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-2	5-4	3	10	W
15/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	4-3	13	2	W
07/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Favoritner AC vs FCM Traiskirchen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FCM Traiskirchen win (51%). Probabilities: Favoritner AC 24%, draw 24%, FCM Traiskirchen 51%.

How many goals are expected in Favoritner AC vs FCM Traiskirchen?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Favoritner AC 1.22 · FCM Traiskirchen 1.85), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Favoritner AC vs FCM Traiskirchen?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.