Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 23/10, 19:00

Prediction: Parndorf vs USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth

Team pages: Parndorf · USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Parndorf1.87

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth1.05

1X2

56% 24% 20%

Parndorf Draw USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Parndorf 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Parndorf 1475 · USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1498

	Parndorf	Draw	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
Our model	56%	25%	20%
Market	57%	23%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Parndorf	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.4	0.9 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.00

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.60▲	Bet365 1.60
X	4.10 → 4.00▼	Bet365 4.00
2	5.00 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:58 +9’	1.50	4.10	5.00
05:01 +3’	1.60▲	4.00▼	4.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	12	8	1	3	30	12	25
2	Wiener Sportclub	12	7	2	3	27	12	23
3	Oberwart	12	7	2	3	23	15	23
4	FCM Traiskirchen	12	6	3	3	26	22	21
5	Kremser SC	12	6	2	4	20	16	20
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	12	6	2	4	14	13	20
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	12	5	4	3	20	21	19
9	SV Leobendorf	12	5	2	5	17	15	17
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	12	5	1	6	13	17	16
11	Parndorf	12	4	3	5	16	16	15
12	Favoritner AC	12	4	1	7	9	15	13
13	SV Gloggnitz	12	3	4	5	13	20	13
14	SV Donau	12	2	6	4	17	21	12
15	SV Horn	12	3	2	7	14	17	11
16	SV Wienerberg	12	0	1	11	6	39	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Parndorf	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
SC Wiener Viktoria	0-1 L	1-5 L
Wiener Sportclub	1-1 D	2-1 W
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	0-1 L	0-2 L
Favoritner AC	1-0 W	1-0 W
SV Gloggnitz	2-0 W	1-1 D
Kremser SC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Parndorf (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Parndorf

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
09/10	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-1	1	5	D
03/10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
25/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	8	1	W
18/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-3	11	4	L
11/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-3	7	6	L
01/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
28/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
22/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
14/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	3	9	D

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-2	4	8	L
10/10	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
04/10	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
26/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	3-1	5	1	W
20/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	2-2	3	3	D
12/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
05/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-5	3	3	L
28/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-2	2	7	L
14/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Parndorf vs USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Parndorf win (56%). Probabilities: Parndorf 56%, draw 24%, USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 20%.

How many goals are expected in Parndorf vs USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Parndorf 1.87 · USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1.05), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Parndorf vs USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.