Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 23/10, 19:00

Prediction: FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SC Wiener Viktoria

Team pages: FC Marchfeld Donauauen · SC Wiener Viktoria

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

FC Marchfeld Donauauen2.04

SC Wiener Viktoria0.97

1X2

62% 22% 17%

FC Marchfeld Donauauen Draw SC Wiener Viktoria

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Marchfeld Donauauen 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLDWL

SC Wiener Viktoria 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWWDLW

Head-to-head

FC Marchfeld Donauauen 5–1 SC Wiener Viktoria (6 last)

SC Wiener Viktoria0-3FC Marchfeld Donauauen
FC Marchfeld Donauauen2-0SC Wiener Viktoria
FC Marchfeld Donauauen4-0SC Wiener Viktoria
SC Wiener Viktoria0-4FC Marchfeld Donauauen
FC Marchfeld Donauauen4-0SC Wiener Viktoria
SC Wiener Viktoria4-1FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1585 · SC Wiener Viktoria 1523

	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	Draw	SC Wiener Viktoria
Our model	61%	23%	16%
Market	62%	21%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen (rating 1585 vs 1523).
H2H favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	SC Wiener Viktoria
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.1	1.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.1	2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.33

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.45▲	Bet365 1.45
X	4.50 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33
2	5.75 → 5.25▼	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:01 +6’	1.40	4.50	5.75
04:57 +7’	1.45▲	4.33▼	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 5–0–1 SC Wiener Viktoria

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SC Wiener Viktoria	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
31/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	2-0 HT 0-0	SC Wiener Viktoria
23/05/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	4-0 HT 2-0	SC Wiener Viktoria
26/10/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SC Wiener Viktoria	0-4 HT 0-2	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
22/03/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	4-0 HT 2-0	SC Wiener Viktoria
26/08/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SC Wiener Viktoria	4-1 HT 1-1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	12	8	1	3	30	12	25
2	Wiener Sportclub	12	7	2	3	27	12	23
3	Oberwart	12	7	2	3	23	15	23
4	FCM Traiskirchen	12	6	3	3	26	22	21
5	Kremser SC	12	6	2	4	20	16	20
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	12	6	2	4	14	13	20
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	12	5	4	3	20	21	19
9	SV Leobendorf	12	5	2	5	17	15	17
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	12	5	1	6	13	17	16
11	Parndorf	12	4	3	5	16	16	15
12	Favoritner AC	12	4	1	7	9	15	13
13	SV Gloggnitz	12	3	4	5	13	20	13
14	SV Donau	12	2	6	4	17	21	12
15	SV Horn	12	3	2	7	14	17	11
16	SV Wienerberg	12	0	1	11	6	39	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	SC Wiener Viktoria
Wiener Sportclub	0-2 L	0-3 L
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	4-0 W	3-1 W
SV Gloggnitz	3-2 W	1-1 D
Parndorf	4-1 W	1-0 W
Kremser SC	3-1 W	0-1 L
SV Donau	4-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Marchfeld Donauauen (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
09/10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	4-0	2	4	W
02/10	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
25/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
18/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
04/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
28/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
21/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-1	4	8	W
15/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	4-1	7	6	W

SC Wiener Viktoria

WLDWWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
09/10	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
03/10	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	11	1	D
26/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
19/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	10	1	W
12/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
05/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	5-1	8	3	W
29/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	0-3	1	3	L
15/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SC Wiener Viktoria?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Marchfeld Donauauen win (62%). Probabilities: FC Marchfeld Donauauen 62%, draw 22%, SC Wiener Viktoria 17%.

How many goals are expected in FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SC Wiener Viktoria?

The model expects 3.01 goals (FC Marchfeld Donauauen 2.04 · SC Wiener Viktoria 0.97), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SC Wiener Viktoria?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.