Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 18/09, 19:30

Prediction: Wiener Sportclub vs SV Leobendorf

Team pages: Wiener Sportclub · SV Leobendorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Wiener Sportclub2.2

SV Leobendorf1.21

1X2

59% 21% 20%

Wiener Sportclub Draw SV Leobendorf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Wiener Sportclub 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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SV Leobendorf 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Wiener Sportclub 2–2–2 SV Leobendorf (6 last)

Wiener Sportclub3-0SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf4-2Wiener Sportclub
SV Leobendorf1-3Wiener Sportclub
Wiener Sportclub1-2SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf2-2Wiener Sportclub
Wiener Sportclub2-2SV Leobendorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wiener Sportclub 1548 · SV Leobendorf 1441

	Wiener Sportclub	Draw	SV Leobendorf
Our model	59%	22%	19%
Market	60%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wiener Sportclub (rating 1548 vs 1441).
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wiener Sportclub	SV Leobendorf
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 0.4	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5	2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.33

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
04:38 +5’	1.50	4.33	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wiener Sportclub 2–2–2 SV Leobendorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Wiener Sportclub	3-0 HT 0-0	SV Leobendorf
15/11/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	4-2 HT 2-1	Wiener Sportclub
22/03/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	1-3 HT 0-2	Wiener Sportclub
24/08/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Wiener Sportclub	1-2 HT 0-0	SV Leobendorf
27/04/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	2-2 HT 1-0	Wiener Sportclub
30/09/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Wiener Sportclub	2-2 HT 1-0	SV Leobendorf

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	7	6	0	1	22	7	18
2	Wiener Sportclub	7	5	1	1	17	3	16
3	Oberwart	7	4	0	3	14	11	12
4	FCM Traiskirchen	6	3	2	1	16	13	11
5	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	7	3	2	2	10	13	11
6	Parndorf	7	3	2	2	13	10	11
7	SC Wiener Viktoria	7	3	1	3	11	9	10
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	7	3	1	3	5	8	10
9	SV Donau	7	2	3	2	11	13	9
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	7	3	0	4	9	8	9
11	Favoritner AC	7	3	0	4	6	8	9
12	SV Horn	7	2	2	3	7	7	8
13	SV Leobendorf	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
14	SV Gloggnitz	7	2	2	3	10	12	8
15	Kremser SC	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
16	SV Wienerberg	7	0	0	7	5	28	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wiener Sportclub	SV Leobendorf
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	1-0 W	2-1 W
Favoritner AC	2-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Wiener Sportclub (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wiener Sportclub

WWWWWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	6-0	7	3	W
04/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
28/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
21/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
14/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	4-1	5	3	W
08/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
31/07	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
06/06	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	5-1	6-1	3	5	W
29/05	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	3-0	2	3	W
22/05	Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	4-0	9	1	W

SV Leobendorf

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	8	9	W
04/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
29/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
21/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-3	4-5	1	10	L
14/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
07/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
31/07	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	3	7	D
03/06	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	5-1	12	4	W
29/05	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
22/05	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	1	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wiener Sportclub vs SV Leobendorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wiener Sportclub win (59%). Probabilities: Wiener Sportclub 59%, draw 21%, SV Leobendorf 20%.

How many goals are expected in Wiener Sportclub vs SV Leobendorf?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Wiener Sportclub 2.2 · SV Leobendorf 1.21), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wiener Sportclub vs SV Leobendorf?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.