Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 16/10, 19:30

Prediction: Wiener Sportclub vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Team pages: Wiener Sportclub · FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Wiener Sportclub1.6

FC Marchfeld Donauauen1.71

1X2

35% 25% 40%

Wiener Sportclub Draw FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Wiener Sportclub 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWLWLD

FC Marchfeld Donauauen 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Wiener Sportclub 0–5–1 FC Marchfeld Donauauen (6 last)

Wiener Sportclub2-2FC Marchfeld Donauauen
FC Marchfeld Donauauen1-1Wiener Sportclub
FC Marchfeld Donauauen0-0Wiener Sportclub
Wiener Sportclub2-2FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Wiener Sportclub1-1FC Marchfeld Donauauen
FC Marchfeld Donauauen3-1Wiener Sportclub

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wiener Sportclub 1527 · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1571

	Wiener Sportclub	Draw	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Our model	35%	25%	40%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen (rating 1527 vs 1571).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wiener Sportclub	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	2.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.4	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.60

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:59 +6’	2.55	3.60	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wiener Sportclub 0–5–1 FC Marchfeld Donauauen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Wiener Sportclub	2-2 HT 1-1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
17/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-1 HT 1-0	Wiener Sportclub
06/06/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	0-0 HT 0-0	Wiener Sportclub
09/11/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Wiener Sportclub	2-2 HT 0-2	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
19/04/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Wiener Sportclub	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
22/09/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	3-1 HT 1-1	Wiener Sportclub

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	11	8	1	2	30	10	25
2	Oberwart	11	7	1	3	22	14	22
3	Wiener Sportclub	11	6	2	3	25	12	20
4	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	11	5	4	2	19	19	19
5	FCM Traiskirchen	11	5	3	3	24	21	18
6	Kremser SC	11	5	2	4	18	15	17
7	SC Wiener Viktoria	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	11	5	2	4	13	13	17
9	Parndorf	11	4	3	4	16	15	15
10	SV Leobendorf	11	4	2	5	14	15	14
11	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	11	4	1	6	12	17	13
12	Favoritner AC	11	4	1	6	8	13	13
13	SV Donau	11	2	6	3	17	20	12
14	SV Gloggnitz	11	3	3	5	12	19	12
15	SV Horn	11	3	2	6	14	16	11
16	SV Wienerberg	11	0	1	10	6	36	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wiener Sportclub	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Parndorf	1-1 D	4-1 W
Kremser SC	3-4 L	3-1 W
SV Donau	3-2 W	4-1 W
SV Leobendorf	1-2 L	0-1 L
SV Gloggnitz	4-1 W	3-2 W
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	1-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Marchfeld Donauauen (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wiener Sportclub

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
02/10	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-3	3-4	4	6	L
26/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
18/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
12/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	6-0	7	3	W
04/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
28/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
21/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
14/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	4-1	5	3	W
08/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	3	4	W

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	4-0	2	4	W
02/10	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
25/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
18/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
04/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
28/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
21/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-1	4	8	W
15/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	4-1	7	6	W
07/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wiener Sportclub vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Marchfeld Donauauen win (40%). Probabilities: Wiener Sportclub 35%, draw 25%, FC Marchfeld Donauauen 40%.

How many goals are expected in Wiener Sportclub vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Wiener Sportclub 1.6 · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1.71), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wiener Sportclub vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.