Football · Paraguay Women League · 05/07, 22:15

Prediction: Club Guarani (W) vs Olimpia Asuncion (W)

Expected goals: 3.1 (Club Guarani (W) 0.68 · Olimpia Asuncion (W) 2.42). The model gives 9% home, 15% draw, 76% away. Over 3 goals (50%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 0-2.

Over its last 10 matches, Club Guarani (W) sits at 8-2-0 (W-D-L), while Olimpia Asuncion (W) arrives on a 7-3-0 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Club Guarani (W) and 6 for Olimpia Asuncion (W).

76%2
9% 15% 76%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Guarani (W) 1585 · Olimpia Asuncion (W) 1608
Club Guarani (W)DrawOlimpia Asuncion (W)
Our model8%17%75%
Market9%14%77%
Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.1Club Guarani (W) 0.68 · Olimpia Asuncion (W) 2.42
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 50%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Olimpia Asuncion (W): 6-0-0.
  • High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Club Guarani (W)Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 0.74.1 / 0.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 01.6 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)89/11/0%70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 52.6 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 02.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Guarani (W) 006 Olimpia Asuncion (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/12/25
Paraguay Copa EFE Women
Club Guarani (W)0-2
HT 0-0
Olimpia Asuncion (W)
29/04/25
Paraguay Women League
Club Guarani (W)1-2
HT 1-0
Olimpia Asuncion (W)
02/02/25
Paraguay Women League
Olimpia Asuncion (W)2-0
HT 1-0
Club Guarani (W)
22/07/24
Paraguay Women League
Club Guarani (W)0-3
HT 0-2
Olimpia Asuncion (W)
06/05/24
Paraguay Women League
Olimpia Asuncion (W)2-0
HT 1-0
Club Guarani (W)
26/11/23
Paraguay Women League
Olimpia Asuncion (W)3-0
HT 2-0
Club Guarani (W)

Standings · Paraguay Women League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Libertad Limpeno (W) 11920 53629
2 Club Guarani (W) 10820 22726
3 Cerro Porteno (W) 11722 40723
4 Olimpia Asuncion (W) 8620 38120
5 Sportivo Trinidense (W) 9513 141216
6 Nacional-Humaita (W) 12516 212516
7 Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) 11506 292715
8 Deportivo Recoleta (W) 10406 162712
9 Rubio Nu (W) 10217 8327
10 2 de Mayo (W) 10208 12346
11 Sportivo Luqueno (W) 10127 6415
12 Sportivo Ameliano (W) 10019 6461

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentClub Guarani (W)Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Sportivo Ameliano (W) 2-0 W 10-0 W
Cerro Porteno (W) 2-1 W 0-0 D
Nacional-Humaita (W) 1-1 D 3-0 W
2 de Mayo (W) 4-2 W 3-0 W
Sportivo Luqueno (W) 5-0 W 7-0 W
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) 3-2 W 7-0 W
Libertad Limpeno (W) 1-1 D 1-1 D
Rubio Nu (W) 1-0 W 7-0 W
Record vs common 6 W 2 D 0 L 6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Asuncion (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Guarani (W)

WWDWWWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Deportivo Recoleta (W)
Paraguay Women League
1-0 1-0 93 W
30/05 Sportivo Ameliano (W)
Paraguay Women League
1-0 2-0 53 W
23/05 Cerro Porteno (W)
Paraguay Women League
2-0 2-1 25 W
17/05 Nacional-Humaita (W)
Paraguay Women League
1-0 1-1 35 D
10/05 2 de Mayo (W)
Paraguay Women League
4-2 W
01/05 Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Paraguay Women League
3-0 5-0 44 W
26/04 Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)
Paraguay Women League
2-0 3-2 43 W
19/04 Libertad Limpeno (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-0 1-1 52 D
29/03 Rubio Nu (W)
Paraguay Women League
1-0 1-0 82 W
23/03 Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Paraguay Women League
1-0 2-0 55 W

Olimpia Asuncion (W)

WDWWWDDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Paraguay Women League
3-0 7-0 151 W
23/05 Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)
Paraguay Women League
2-0 7-0 92 W
17/05 Sportivo Ameliano (W)
Paraguay Women League
5-0 10-0 91 W
10/05 Libertad Limpeno (W)
Paraguay Women League
1-0 1-1 64 D
03/05 Cerro Porteno (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-0 0-0 53 D
25/04 Rubio Nu (W)
Paraguay Women League
3-0 7-0 82 W
19/04 Nacional-Humaita (W)
Paraguay Women League
0-0 3-0 64 W
21/03 2 de Mayo (W)
Paraguay Women League
1-0 3-0 73 W
16/12 Libertad Limpeno (W)
Other Match
1-0 1-1 24 D
13/12 Club Guarani (W)
Paraguay Copa EFE Women
0-0 2-0 85 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Guarani (W) vs Olimpia Asuncion (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Asuncion (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Club Guarani (W) 9%, draw 15%, Olimpia Asuncion (W) 76%.

How many goals are expected in Club Guarani (W) vs Olimpia Asuncion (W)?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Club Guarani (W) 0.68 · Olimpia Asuncion (W) 2.42), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Guarani (W) vs Olimpia Asuncion (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.