Football · Paraguay Women League · 12/07, 20:00
Prediction: Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.99Total
Sportivo Luqueno (W)1.74
2 de Mayo (W)2.25
1X2
Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Draw
2 de Mayo (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Luqueno (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
2 de Mayo (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo Luqueno (W)
1–4
2 de Mayo (W)
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Luqueno (W) 1415 · 2 de Mayo (W) 1424
| Sportivo Luqueno (W) | Draw | 2 de Mayo (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 22% | 49% |
| Market | 29% | 23% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours 2 de Mayo (W): 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 2 de Mayo (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 4.1 | 1.2 / 3.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 2 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 22/11/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.4 | 1.3 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Luqueno (W) 1–0–4 2 de Mayo (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/25 Paraguay Women League | 2 de Mayo (W) | 1-0 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) |
| 17/03/25 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | 2 de Mayo (W) |
| 28/10/24 Paraguay Copa EFE Women | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 1-4 HT 1-2 | 2 de Mayo (W) |
| 20/07/24 Paraguay Women League | 2 de Mayo (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) |
| 19/06/24 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | 2 de Mayo (W) |
Standings · Paraguay Women League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 54 | 6 | 32 |
| 2 | Club Guarani (W) | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno (W) | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 18 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 16 |
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 12 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo (W) | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 6 |
| 11 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 5 |
| 12 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 46 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 2 de Mayo (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 0-7 L | 0-3 L |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 1-6 L | 1-3 L |
| Libertad Limpeno (W) | 0-9 L | 1-11 L |
| Rubio Nu (W) | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Club Guarani (W) | 0-5 L | 2-4 L |
| Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Cerro Porteno (W) | 0-9 L | 0-2 L |
| Nacional-Humaita (W) | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 7 L | 2 W 0 D 8 L |
Better against common opponents: 2 de Mayo (W) (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo Luqueno (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-7 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-4 | 1-6 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-6 | 0-9 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 01/05 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/04 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/03 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-9 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
2 de Mayo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-11 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 16/05 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 21/03 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an 2 de Mayo (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Sportivo Luqueno (W) 29%, draw 22%, 2 de Mayo (W) 49%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)?
The model expects 3.99 goals (Sportivo Luqueno (W) 1.74 · 2 de Mayo (W) 2.25), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.