Football · Paraguay Women League · 15/07, 17:30
Prediction: Deportivo Recoleta (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Deportivo Recoleta (W)0.9
Sportivo Trinidense (W)2.45
1X2
Deportivo Recoleta (W)
Draw
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Recoleta (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Recoleta (W)
0–2–1
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Recoleta (W) 1464 · Sportivo Trinidense (W) 1522
| Deportivo Recoleta (W) | Draw | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 18% | 71% |
| Market | 12% | 16% | 72% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Trinidense (W) (rating 1464 vs 1522).
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Recoleta (W) | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.6 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 2.1 | 2.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Recoleta (W) 0–2–1 Sportivo Trinidense (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) |
| 18/08/25 Paraguay Women League | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) |
| 11/04/25 Paraguay Women League | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 4-2 HT 4-0 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) |
Standings · Paraguay Women League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 54 | 6 | 32 |
| 2 | Club Guarani (W) | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno (W) | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 18 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 16 |
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 13 |
| 9 | 2 de Mayo (W) | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 9 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu (W) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 8 |
| 11 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 46 | 5 |
| 12 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 2 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | Sportivo Trinidense (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Club Guarani (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 6-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Cerro Porteno (W) | 0-7 L | 1-1 D |
| Nacional-Humaita (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| 2 de Mayo (W) | 1-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Libertad Limpeno (W) | 0-8 L | 0-3 L |
| Rubio Nu (W) | 5-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 6 L | 5 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportivo Trinidense (W) (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Recoleta (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 6-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-7 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 23/04 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 20/04 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-8 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 20/03 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Sportivo Trinidense (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 25/04 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/03 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Recoleta (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportivo Trinidense (W) win (71%). Probabilities: Deportivo Recoleta (W) 12%, draw 17%, Sportivo Trinidense (W) 71%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Recoleta (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Deportivo Recoleta (W) 0.9 · Sportivo Trinidense (W) 2.45), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Recoleta (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.