Prediction: Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)
Expected goals: 4.1 (Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) 2.18 · Nacional-Humaita (W) 1.92). The model gives 43% home, 23% draw, 33% away. Over 3.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) with 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Nacional-Humaita (W) has piled up 4-1-5 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) and 1 for Nacional-Humaita (W).
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | Draw | Nacional-Humaita (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| Market | 43% | 25% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | Nacional-Humaita (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 2.2 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/0/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) 0–0–1 Nacional-Humaita (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Paraguay Women League | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 5-3 HT 4-2 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) |
Standings · Paraguay Women League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 53 | 6 | 29 |
| 2 | Club Guarani (W) | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno (W) | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 20 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 15 |
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 12 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo (W) | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 6 |
| 11 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 5 |
| 12 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 46 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | Nacional-Humaita (W) |
|---|---|---|
| 2 de Mayo (W) | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 6-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 0-7 L | 0-3 L |
| Libertad Limpeno (W) | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Rubio Nu (W) | 5-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Club Guarani (W) | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 7-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Cerro Porteno (W) | 0-3 L | 1-6 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 5 L | 4 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
4-1 | 6-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-7 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 26/04 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/04 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 27/03 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 7-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
Nacional-Humaita (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-2 | 1-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) 43%, draw 23%, Nacional-Humaita (W) 33%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)?
The model expects 4.1 goals (Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) 2.18 · Nacional-Humaita (W) 1.92), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.