Football · Paraguay Women League · 13/07, 00:30
Prediction: Rubio Nu (W) vs Sportivo Ameliano (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.83Total
Rubio Nu (W)2.48
Sportivo Ameliano (W)1.35
1X2
Rubio Nu (W)
Draw
Sportivo Ameliano (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rubio Nu (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Sportivo Ameliano (W)
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rubio Nu (W) 1437 · Sportivo Ameliano (W) 1362
| Rubio Nu (W) | Draw | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 20% | 19% |
| Market | 61% | 21% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rubio Nu (W) (rating 1437 vs 1362).
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rubio Nu (W) | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 3.2 | 0.6 / 4.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.3 | 0.3 / 1.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 20/0/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 1 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0 |
Standings · Paraguay Women League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 54 | 6 | 32 |
| 2 | Club Guarani (W) | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno (W) | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 18 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 16 |
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 12 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo (W) | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 6 |
| 11 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 5 |
| 12 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 46 | 1 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rubio Nu (W) | Sportivo Ameliano (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Cerro Porteno (W) | 0-6 L | 0-4 L |
| Nacional-Humaita (W) | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| 2 de Mayo (W) | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 0-5 L | 0-7 L |
| Libertad Limpeno (W) | 0-3 L | 0-8 L |
| Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 0-7 L | 0-10 L |
| Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Club Guarani (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 1-5 L | 2-6 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 7 L | 0 W 1 D 9 L |
Better against common opponents: Rubio Nu (W) (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rubio Nu (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 11 | W |
| 16/05 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-7 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 20/03 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
Sportivo Ameliano (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 2-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-5 | 0-10 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | 2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/03 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-7 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-5 | 0-8 | 0 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rubio Nu (W) vs Sportivo Ameliano (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rubio Nu (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Rubio Nu (W) 61%, draw 21%, Sportivo Ameliano (W) 18%.
How many goals are expected in Rubio Nu (W) vs Sportivo Ameliano (W)?
The model expects 3.83 goals (Rubio Nu (W) 2.48 · Sportivo Ameliano (W) 1.35), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rubio Nu (W) vs Sportivo Ameliano (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.