Football · France Ligue 1 · 23/08, 20:45

Prediction: Rennes vs PSG

Team pages: PSG

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Rennes1.13
PSG2.29
1X2
17% 20% 63%
Rennes Draw PSG
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Rennes 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLDWWWWLWL
PSG 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWWLWWDWWL
Head-to-head
Rennes 1–1–4 PSG (6 last)
  • Rennes3-1PSG
  • PSG5-0Rennes
  • Rennes1-4PSG
  • PSG3-1Rennes
  • PSG1-0Rennes
  • PSG1-1Rennes
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rennes 1507 · PSG 1527
RennesDrawPSG
Our model17%21%62%
Market17%20%63%
Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours PSG: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RennesPSG
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.52.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 7.14.2 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 02.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rennes 114 PSG

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/02/26
France Ligue 1
Rennes3-1
HT 1-0
PSG
06/12/25
France Ligue 1
PSG5-0
HT 2-0
Rennes
08/03/25
France Ligue 1
Rennes1-4
HT 0-1
PSG
27/09/24
France Ligue 1
PSG3-1
HT 1-0
Rennes
03/04/24
France Cup
PSG1-0
HT 1-0
Rennes
25/02/24
France Ligue 1
PSG1-1
HT 0-1
Rennes

Standings · France Ligue 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Marseille 1100 403
2 Lens 1100 523
3 Lyon 1100 203
4 Troyes 1010 001
4 Lorient 1010 001
4 Nice 1010 001
4 Paris FC 1010 001
8 Angers 0000 000
8 Monaco 0000 000
8 Le Havre 0000 000
8 Le Mans 0000 000
8 Lille 0000 000
8 PSG 0000 000
8 Brest 0000 000
8 Rennes 0000 000
16 Toulouse 1001 020
17 Auxerre 1001 250
18 Strasbourg 1001 040

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRennesPSG
Paris FC 2-1 W 1-2 L
Lyon 2-4 L 1-2 L
Nantes 2-1 W 3-0 W
Angers 2-1 W 3-0 W
Brest 4-3 W 1-0 W
Nice 4-0 W 4-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: PSG (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rennes

WLDWWWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/05 Marseille
France Ligue 1
0-2 1-3 114 L
10/05 Paris FC
France Ligue 1
0-0 2-1 82 W
03/05 Lyon
France Ligue 1
1-2 2-4 53 L
26/04 Nantes
France Ligue 1
1-1 2-1 65 W
19/04 Strasbourg
France Ligue 1
1-0 3-0 91 W
11/04 Angers
France Ligue 1
2-0 2-1 112 W
04/04 Brest
France Ligue 1
2-1 4-3 76 W
22/03 Metz
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-0 84 D
15/03 Lille
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-2 57 L
08/03 Nice
France Ligue 1
2-0 4-0 13 W

PSG

LWWLWWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/05 Paris FC
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-2 32 L
13/05 Lens
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-0 31 W
10/05 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 130 W
02/05 Lorient
France Ligue 1
1-1 2-2 122 D
25/04 Angers
France Ligue 1
2-0 3-0 42 W
22/04 Nantes
France Ligue 1
2-0 3-0 73 W
19/04 Lyon
France Ligue 1
0-2 1-2 136 L
03/04 Toulouse
France Ligue 1
2-1 3-1 51 W
21/03 Nice
France Ligue 1
1-0 4-0 52 W
06/03 Monaco
France Ligue 1
0-1 1-3 74 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rennes vs PSG?

According to our model, the most likely result is an PSG win (63%). Probabilities: Rennes 17%, draw 20%, PSG 63%.

How many goals are expected in Rennes vs PSG?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Rennes 1.13 · PSG 2.29), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rennes vs PSG?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.