Prediction: Lyon vs Le Havre
- Le Havre0-0Lyon
- Lyon1-0Le Havre
- Lyon4-2Le Havre
- Le Havre0-4Lyon
- Le Havre3-1Lyon
- Lyon0-0Le Havre
| Lyon | Draw | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 24% | 15% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lyon (rating 1557 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Lyon: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lyon | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.6 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lyon 3–2–1 Le Havre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lyon |
| 14/12/25 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Le Havre |
| 16/03/25 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 4-2 HT 1-2 | Le Havre |
| 20/10/24 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Lyon |
| 14/01/24 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Lyon |
| 17/09/23 France Ligue 1 | Lyon | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Le Havre |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Troyes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lyon | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Lorient | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Angers | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Lyon (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lyon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 20 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/03 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
Le Havre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/03 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/03 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lyon vs Le Havre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lyon win (61%). Probabilities: Lyon 61%, draw 23%, Le Havre 16%.
How many goals are expected in Lyon vs Le Havre?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Lyon 1.88 · Le Havre 0.85), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lyon vs Le Havre?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.