Prediction: Auxerre vs Angers
- Auxerre3-1Angers
- Angers2-0Auxerre
- Angers2-0Auxerre
- Auxerre1-0Angers
- Auxerre1-0Angers
- Angers2-2Auxerre
| Auxerre | Draw | Angers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Auxerre (rating 1526 vs 1468).
- H2H favours Auxerre: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Auxerre | Angers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.5 | 1.6 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Auxerre 3–1–2 Angers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 France Ligue 1 | Auxerre | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Angers |
| 09/11/25 France Ligue 1 | Angers | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Auxerre |
| 19/01/25 France Ligue 1 | Angers | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Auxerre |
| 24/11/24 France Ligue 1 | Auxerre | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Angers |
| 10/02/24 France Ligue 2 | Auxerre | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Angers |
| 19/08/23 France Ligue 2 | Angers | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Auxerre |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Troyes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Auxerre | Angers |
|---|---|---|
| Lens | 2-5 L | 1-5 L |
| Lille | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Nice | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Lyon | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Le Havre | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Brest | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Auxerre (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Auxerre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 13/03 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
Angers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/03 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/03 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Auxerre vs Angers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Auxerre win (51%). Probabilities: Auxerre 51%, draw 26%, Angers 23%.
How many goals are expected in Auxerre vs Angers?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Auxerre 1.74 · Angers 1.09), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Auxerre vs Angers?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.