Prediction: Brest vs Toulouse
- Brest0-2Toulouse
- Toulouse2-0Brest
- Toulouse2-4Brest
- Brest2-0Toulouse
- Toulouse0-3Brest
- Brest1-1Toulouse
| Brest | Draw | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toulouse (rating 1420 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Brest: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brest | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.3 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brest 3–1–2 Toulouse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Toulouse |
| 24/08/25 France Ligue 1 | Toulouse | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Brest |
| 30/03/25 France Ligue 1 | Toulouse | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Brest |
| 22/09/24 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Toulouse |
| 19/05/24 France Ligue 1 | Toulouse | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Brest |
| 08/10/23 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Toulouse |
Standings · France Ligue 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Troyes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brest | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| PSG | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Lens | 3-3 D | 2-3 L |
| Monaco | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brest
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
3-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 04/04 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/03 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 14/03 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
Toulouse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/04 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
3-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/03 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brest vs Toulouse?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Toulouse win (39%). Probabilities: Brest 34%, draw 28%, Toulouse 39%.
How many goals are expected in Brest vs Toulouse?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Brest 1.35 · Toulouse 1.46), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brest vs Toulouse?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.