Prediction: Strasbourg vs Lens
Team pages: Strasbourg · Lens
- Strasbourg1-1Lens
- Lens1-0Strasbourg
- Lens0-2Strasbourg
- Strasbourg2-2Lens
- Lens3-1Strasbourg
- Strasbourg0-1Lens
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lens (rating 1441 vs 1576).
- H2H favours Lens: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Strasbourg | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2 | 2.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.3 | 3.5 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Strasbourg 1–2–3 Lens
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 France Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lens |
| 22/11/25 France Ligue 1 | Lens | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Strasbourg |
| 16/02/25 France Ligue 1 | Lens | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Strasbourg |
| 06/10/24 France Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Lens |
| 10/02/24 France Ligue 1 | Lens | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Strasbourg |
| 29/09/23 France Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lens |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Troyes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Strasbourg | Lens |
|---|---|---|
| Brest | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Angers | 1-1 D | 5-1 W |
| Toulouse | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Lorient | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Nice | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Nantes | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Strasbourg (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Strasbourg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
1-3 | 5-4 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 04/04 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 15/03 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | D |
Lens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 24/04 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 3-2 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/03 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
3-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 14/03 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Strasbourg vs Lens?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lens win (42%). Probabilities: Strasbourg 33%, draw 25%, Lens 42%.
How many goals are expected in Strasbourg vs Lens?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Strasbourg 1.62 · Lens 1.86), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Strasbourg vs Lens?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.