Football · France Ligue 1 · 22/08, 17:15

Prediction: Lens vs Auxerre

Team pages: Lens

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Lens2.1
Auxerre1.12
1X2
59% 23% 19%
Lens Draw Auxerre
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lens 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDDWLWWDWL
Auxerre 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DLWWWWLDDW
Head-to-head
Lens 4–1–1 Auxerre (6 last)
  • Lens1-0Auxerre
  • Auxerre1-2Lens
  • Lens0-4Auxerre
  • Auxerre2-2Lens
  • Auxerre1-3Lens
  • Lens1-0Auxerre
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lens 1545 · Auxerre 1524
LensDrawAuxerre
Our model59%22%19%
Market59%23%19%
Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Lens: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LensAuxerre
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.32 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.81 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.7 / 6.13 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.32.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lens 411 Auxerre

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
17/01/26
France Ligue 1
Lens1-0
HT 0-0
Auxerre
04/10/25
France Ligue 1
Auxerre1-2
HT 0-1
Lens
27/04/25
France Ligue 1
Lens0-4
HT 0-3
Auxerre
14/12/24
France Ligue 1
Auxerre2-2
HT 1-2
Lens
03/06/23
France Ligue 1
Auxerre1-3
HT 0-1
Lens
14/01/23
France Ligue 1
Lens1-0
HT 0-0
Auxerre

Standings · France Ligue 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Auxerre 000 000
1 Angers 000 000
1 Monaco 000 000
1 Troyes 000 000
1 Lorient 000 000
1 Le Havre 000 000
1 Le Mans 000 000
1 Lille 000 000
1 Nice 000 000
1 Lyon 000 000
1 Marseille 000 000
1 Paris FC 000 000
1 PSG 000 000
1 Lens 000 000
1 Brest 000 000
1 Rennes 000 000
1 Strasbourg 000 000
1 Toulouse 000 000

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLensAuxerre
Nice 3-1 W 2-1 W
Lyon 4-0 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lens (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lens

WDDWLWWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Sunderland
Elite Club Friendlies
0-0 0-2 41 L
01/08 Villarreal
Elite Club Friendlies
1-1 3-1 36 W
25/07 Charleroi
Elite Club Friendlies
1-1 2-2 31 D
22/05 Nice
France Cup
2-1 3-1 94 W
17/05 Lyon
France Ligue 1
3-0 4-0 85 W
13/05 PSG
France Ligue 1
0-1 0-2 61 L
08/05 Nantes
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-0 83 W
02/05 Nice
France Ligue 1
0-0 1-1 86 D
24/04 Brest
France Ligue 1
0-3 3-3 64 D
21/04 Toulouse
France Cup
3-1 4-1 62 W

Auxerre

DLWWWWLDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Werder Bremen
Elite Club Friendlies
0-0 1-0 25 W
08/08 Troyes
Elite Club Friendlies
1-0 1-1 41 D
01/08 Sochaux
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
25/07 US Orleans 45
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-2 61 L
18/07 US Lusitanos Saint-Maur
Europe Friendlies
2-0 5-2 80 W
17/05 Lille
France Ligue 1
1-0 2-0 25 W
10/05 Nice
France Ligue 1
1-1 2-1 101 W
03/05 Angers
France Ligue 1
1-0 3-1 46 W
25/04 Lyon
France Ligue 1
1-1 2-3 33 L
19/04 Monaco
France Ligue 1
2-0 2-2 35 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lens vs Auxerre?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lens win (59%). Probabilities: Lens 59%, draw 23%, Auxerre 19%.

How many goals are expected in Lens vs Auxerre?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Lens 2.1 · Auxerre 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lens vs Auxerre?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.