Prediction: Le Havre vs Monaco
- Le Havre0-0Monaco
- Monaco3-1Le Havre
- Le Havre1-1Monaco
- Monaco3-1Le Havre
- Monaco1-1Le Havre
- Le Havre0-0Monaco
| Le Havre | Draw | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Market | 26% | 24% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monaco (rating 1476 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Monaco: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Le Havre | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.5 | 3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Le Havre 0–4–2 Monaco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Monaco |
| 16/08/25 France Ligue 1 | Monaco | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Le Havre |
| 26/04/25 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Monaco |
| 22/09/24 France Ligue 1 | Monaco | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Le Havre |
| 04/02/24 France Ligue 1 | Monaco | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Le Havre |
| 11/11/23 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Monaco |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Le Havre | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Lille | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Metz | 4-4 D | 2-1 W |
| Auxerre | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Paris FC | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Lyon | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Brest | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Monaco (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Le Havre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/03 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/03 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Monaco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
3-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 10/04 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 05/04 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 06/03 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Le Havre vs Monaco?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Monaco win (49%). Probabilities: Le Havre 26%, draw 25%, Monaco 49%.
How many goals are expected in Le Havre vs Monaco?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Le Havre 1.18 · Monaco 1.71), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Monaco?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.