Football · Wales Premier League · 29/09, 20:45
Prediction: Cardiff MU vs Haverfordwest County
Team pages: Cardiff MU · Haverfordwest County
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Cardiff MU1.52
Haverfordwest County1
1X2
Cardiff MU
Draw
Haverfordwest County
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Cardiff MU
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Haverfordwest County
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cardiff MU
0–3–3
Haverfordwest County
(6 last)
- Haverfordwest County1-0Cardiff MU
- Cardiff MU0-2Haverfordwest County
- Cardiff MU0-0Haverfordwest County
- Haverfordwest County2-2Cardiff MU
- Cardiff MU1-1Haverfordwest County
- Haverfordwest County1-0Cardiff MU
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cardiff MU 1504 · Haverfordwest County 1476
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Haverfordwest County: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cardiff MU | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.8 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.6 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cardiff MU 0–3–3 Haverfordwest County
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Wales Premier League | Haverfordwest County | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cardiff MU |
| 23/01/26 Wales Premier League | Cardiff MU | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Haverfordwest County |
| 30/12/25 Wales Premier League | Cardiff MU | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Haverfordwest County |
| 22/08/25 Wales Premier League | Haverfordwest County | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Cardiff MU |
| 11/04/25 Wales Premier League | Cardiff MU | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Haverfordwest County |
| 21/02/25 Wales Premier League | Haverfordwest County | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cardiff MU |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.N.S. | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 5 | 31 |
| 2 | Penybont | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Connah's Quay | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 13 | 23 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 22 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 22 |
| 7 | Cambrian United | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 23 | 18 |
| 8 | Llandudno | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 16 |
| 9 | Cardiff MU | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 15 |
| 10 | Airbus UK | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 9 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 5 |
| 14 | Trefelin BGC | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 3 |
| 15 | Ammanford AFC | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cardiff MU | Haverfordwest County |
|---|---|---|
| Connah's Quay | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Cambrian United | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Briton Ferry | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| T.N.S. | 0-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Airbus UK | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Holywell Town | 6-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Cardiff MU (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cardiff MU
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 18/09 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 11/09 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 04/09 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 31/08 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
Haverfordwest County
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/09 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 28/08 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 21/08 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/08 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cardiff MU vs Haverfordwest County?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cardiff MU win (49%). Probabilities: Cardiff MU 49%, draw 27%, Haverfordwest County 25%.
How many goals are expected in Cardiff MU vs Haverfordwest County?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Cardiff MU 1.52 · Haverfordwest County 1), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cardiff MU vs Haverfordwest County?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.