Football · Wales Premier League · 24/10, 13:30
Prediction: Connah's Quay vs Llandudno
Team pages: Connah's Quay · Llandudno
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Connah's Quay2.05
Llandudno0.89
1X2
Connah's Quay
Draw
Llandudno
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Connah's Quay
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Llandudno
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Connah's Quay
3–1–2
Llandudno
(6 last)
- Llandudno2-1Connah's Quay
- Connah's Quay2-0Llandudno
- Connah's Quay3-0Llandudno
- Llandudno0-4Connah's Quay
- Connah's Quay1-1Llandudno
- Llandudno1-0Connah's Quay
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Connah's Quay 1599 · Llandudno 1466
| Connah's Quay | Draw | Llandudno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 22% | 14% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Connah's Quay (rating 1599 vs 1466).
- H2H favours Connah's Quay: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Connah's Quay | Llandudno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Connah's Quay 3–1–2 Llandudno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/25 Wales Cup | Llandudno | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Connah's Quay |
| 06/08/21 Wales League Cup | Connah's Quay | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Llandudno |
| 01/12/18 Wales Premier League | Connah's Quay | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Llandudno |
| 22/09/18 Wales Premier League | Llandudno | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Connah's Quay |
| 21/10/17 Wales Premier League | Connah's Quay | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Llandudno |
| 26/08/17 Wales Premier League | Llandudno | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Connah's Quay |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.N.S. | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 6 | 37 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 23 | 25 |
| 7 | Cardiff MU | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 33 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 10 |
| 13 | Ammanford AFC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 9 |
| 14 | Flint Town Utd | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 8 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 44 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Connah's Quay | Llandudno |
|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Barry Town | 4-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Cardiff MU | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Airbus UK | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Colwyn Bay | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Haverfordwest County | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Cambrian United | 3-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Ammanford AFC | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Connah's Quay (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Connah's Quay
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/09 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/09 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 15/09 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 04/09 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/08 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Llandudno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 15/09 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 11/09 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 04/09 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 21/08 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Connah's Quay vs Llandudno?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Connah's Quay win (64%). Probabilities: Connah's Quay 64%, draw 22%, Llandudno 15%.
How many goals are expected in Connah's Quay vs Llandudno?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Connah's Quay 2.05 · Llandudno 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Connah's Quay vs Llandudno?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.