Prediction: Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian United
Team pages: Colwyn Bay · Cambrian United
| Colwyn Bay | Draw | Cambrian United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 17% | 13% |
| Market | 69% | 18% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colwyn Bay (rating 1543 vs 1482).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colwyn Bay | Cambrian United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.5 | 2.5 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.7 |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.N.S. | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53 | 6 | 40 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 9 | 34 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 16 | 29 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 26 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 25 |
| 7 | Airbus UK | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 24 |
| 8 | Cardiff MU | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 22 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 12 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 9 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 44 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colwyn Bay | Cambrian United |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff MU | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Holywell Town | 5-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Connah's Quay | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Penybont | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Llandudno | 2-0 W | 4-3 W |
| T.N.S. | 1-5 L | 0-9 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Colwyn Bay (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colwyn Bay
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 18/09 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/09 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
5-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
Cambrian United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/10 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 03/10 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-5 | 0-9 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
1-3 | 1-9 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 15/09 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 11/09 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 31/08 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 28/08 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colwyn Bay win (69%). Probabilities: Colwyn Bay 69%, draw 18%, Cambrian United 13%.
How many goals are expected in Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian United?
The model expects 3.97 goals (Colwyn Bay 2.77 · Cambrian United 1.2), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian United?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.