Football · Wales Premier League · 30/10, 20:45
Prediction: Flint Town Utd vs Holywell Town
Team pages: Flint Town Utd · Holywell Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Flint Town Utd2.31
Holywell Town1.04
1X2
Flint Town Utd
Draw
Holywell Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Flint Town Utd
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Holywell Town
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Flint Town Utd
0–3–3
Holywell Town
(6 last)
- Flint Town Utd1-2Holywell Town
- Holywell Town1-0Flint Town Utd
- Flint Town Utd1-1Holywell Town
- Holywell Town2-1Flint Town Utd
- Flint Town Utd1-1Holywell Town
- Flint Town Utd2-2Holywell Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Flint Town Utd 1472 · Holywell Town 1396
| Flint Town Utd | Draw | Holywell Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 20% | 15% |
| Market | 65% | 20% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flint Town Utd (rating 1472 vs 1396).
- H2H favours Holywell Town: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Flint Town Utd | Holywell Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.4 | 1.8 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.6 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Flint Town Utd 0–3–3 Holywell Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/25 Wales League Cup | Flint Town Utd | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Holywell Town |
| 10/02/24 Wales Championship North | Holywell Town | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Flint Town Utd |
| 23/09/23 Wales Championship North | Flint Town Utd | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Holywell Town |
| 26/12/18 Wales Cymru Alliance | Holywell Town | 2-1 | Flint Town Utd |
| 28/08/18 Wales League Cup | Flint Town Utd | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Holywell Town |
| 22/08/18 Wales Cymru Alliance | Flint Town Utd | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Holywell Town |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.N.S. | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53 | 6 | 40 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 9 | 34 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 16 | 29 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 26 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 25 |
| 7 | Airbus UK | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 24 |
| 8 | Cardiff MU | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 22 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 12 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 9 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 44 | 2 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Flint Town Utd | Holywell Town |
|---|---|---|
| Trefelin BGC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Colwyn Bay | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Haverfordwest County | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Ammanford AFC | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Airbus UK | 1-4 L | 2-6 L |
| T.N.S. | 0-5 L | 1-6 L |
| Caernarfon Town | 0-3 L | 3-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 0 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Flint Town Utd (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flint Town Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 26/09 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/09 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 11/09 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/09 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
Holywell Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-6 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 03/10 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 18/09 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-5 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 11/09 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 31/08 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
1-3 | 2-6 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
1-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/08 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flint Town Utd vs Holywell Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Flint Town Utd win (65%). Probabilities: Flint Town Utd 65%, draw 20%, Holywell Town 15%.
How many goals are expected in Flint Town Utd vs Holywell Town?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Flint Town Utd 2.31 · Holywell Town 1.04), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Flint Town Utd vs Holywell Town?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.