Football · Wales Premier League · 07/08, 20:45
Prediction: T.N.S. vs Haverfordwest County
Team pages: T.N.S. · Haverfordwest County
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
T.N.S.2.3
Haverfordwest County0.71
1X2
T.N.S.
Draw
Haverfordwest County
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 65%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
T.N.S.
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Haverfordwest County
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
T.N.S.
6–0
Haverfordwest County
(6 last)
- Haverfordwest County2-3T.N.S.
- T.N.S.5-0Haverfordwest County
- Haverfordwest County1-3T.N.S.
- T.N.S.5-1Haverfordwest County
- T.N.S.2-1Haverfordwest County
- Haverfordwest County0-1T.N.S.
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · T.N.S. 1557 · Haverfordwest County 1487
| T.N.S. | Draw | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 19% | 9% |
| Market | 73% | 17% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours T.N.S. (rating 1557 vs 1487).
- H2H favours T.N.S.: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| T.N.S. | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.1 | 2.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · T.N.S. 6–0–0 Haverfordwest County
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/25 Wales Premier League | Haverfordwest County | 2-3 HT 0-2 | T.N.S. |
| 06/09/25 Wales Premier League | T.N.S. | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Haverfordwest County |
| 19/04/25 Wales Premier League | Haverfordwest County | 1-3 HT 0-0 | T.N.S. |
| 08/03/25 Wales Premier League | T.N.S. | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Haverfordwest County |
| 10/11/24 Wales Premier League | T.N.S. | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Haverfordwest County |
| 07/09/24 Wales Premier League | Haverfordwest County | 0-1 HT 0-1 | T.N.S. |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff MU | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Colwyn Bay | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Llandudno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Briton Ferry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Airbus UK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Penybont | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | T.N.S. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Flint Town Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Ammanford AFC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Cambrian United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Connah's Quay | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | T.N.S. | Haverfordwest County |
|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Barry Town | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: T.N.S. (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
T.N.S.
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 30/07 | FC Flora Tallinn UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 23/07 | FC Flora Tallinn UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Sabah UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/07 | Sabah UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/06 | HW Welders Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Glentoran UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 27/03 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Haverfordwest County
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Llanelli Town UK Friendlies |
6-0 | 8-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Gloucester UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Hamilton UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Llanelli Town Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | Bala Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in T.N.S. vs Haverfordwest County?
According to our model, the most likely result is a T.N.S. win (73%). Probabilities: T.N.S. 73%, draw 18%, Haverfordwest County 10%.
How many goals are expected in T.N.S. vs Haverfordwest County?
The model expects 3.01 goals (T.N.S. 2.3 · Haverfordwest County 0.71), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in T.N.S. vs Haverfordwest County?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.