Football · Wales Premier League · 14/08, 20:45

Prediction: Llandudno vs Holywell Town

Team pages: Llandudno · Holywell Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Llandudno2.22

Holywell Town1.06

1X2

63% 21% 16%

Llandudno Draw Holywell Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Llandudno 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Holywell Town 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWLDLL

Head-to-head

Llandudno 1–1–4 Holywell Town (6 last)

Llandudno2-1Holywell Town
Holywell Town1-1Llandudno
Llandudno0-2Holywell Town
Holywell Town3-1Llandudno
Llandudno0-4Holywell Town
Holywell Town2-1Llandudno

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Llandudno 1603 · Holywell Town 1467

	Llandudno	Draw	Holywell Town
Our model	63%	21%	16%
Market	63%	20%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Llandudno (rating 1603 vs 1467).
H2H favours Holywell Town: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Llandudno	Holywell Town
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1	1.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.6	1.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.6	2.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 1 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:24 +20’	1.44	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Llandudno 1–1–4 Holywell Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Wales Championship North	Llandudno	2-1 HT 1-0	Holywell Town
28/11/25 Wales Championship North	Holywell Town	1-1 HT 0-1	Llandudno
01/01/25 Wales Championship North	Llandudno	0-2 HT 0-0	Holywell Town
04/10/24 Wales Championship North	Holywell Town	3-1 HT 2-0	Llandudno
29/03/24 Wales Championship North	Llandudno	0-4 HT 0-1	Holywell Town
12/08/23 Wales Championship North	Holywell Town	2-1 HT 2-0	Llandudno

Standings · Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cardiff MU	2	2	0	0	8	1	6
2	Llandudno	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
3	Barry Town	2	2	0	0	5	3	6
4	Colwyn Bay	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	T.N.S.	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
6	Briton Ferry	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	Penybont	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
8	Connah's Quay	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
9	Caernarfon Town	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	Airbus UK	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
11	Ammanford AFC	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	Cambrian United	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	Flint Town Utd	2	0	0	2	4	6	0
14	Haverfordwest County	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
15	Trefelin BGC	2	0	0	2	0	6	0
16	Holywell Town	2	0	0	2	2	9	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Llandudno	Holywell Town
Airbus UK	1-3 L	0-3 L
Newtown	2-1 W	6-0 W
Guilsfield	4-1 W	4-4 D
Caersws	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Llandudno

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League	4-0	4-0	6	4	W
31/07	Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League	1-2	3-2	5	7	W
14/07	Rhyl UK Friendlies	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
04/07	Avro FC Club Friendly List	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
23/06	Buckley Town UK Friendlies	3-0	6-0	4	0	W
18/04	Airbus UK Wales Championship North	0-1	1-3	8	5	L
11/04	Newtown Wales Championship North	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
06/04	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	2-1	4-1	7	3	W
03/04	Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North	1-1	5-2	14	0	W
28/03	Caersws Wales Championship North	0-0	1-0	4	8	W

Holywell Town

LWDWLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Connah's Quay Wales Premier League	1-3	1-3	3	5	L
01/08	Cardiff MU Wales Premier League	0-3	1-6	2	8	L
10/07	Mold Alexandra UK Friendlies	0-1	1-1	2	1	D
18/04	Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North	0-0	0-2	7	1	L
08/04	Newtown Wales Championship North	5-0	6-0	2	3	W
03/04	Airbus UK Wales Championship North	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
28/03	Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
21/03	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	2-3	4-4	6	3	D
14/03	Caersws Wales Championship North	3-0	3-1	5	2	W
06/03	Llandudno Wales Championship North	0-1	1-2	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Llandudno vs Holywell Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Llandudno win (63%). Probabilities: Llandudno 63%, draw 21%, Holywell Town 16%.

How many goals are expected in Llandudno vs Holywell Town?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Llandudno 2.22 · Holywell Town 1.06), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Llandudno vs Holywell Town?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.