Football · Wales Premier League · 14/08, 20:45

Prediction: Cambrian United vs Flint Town Utd

Team pages: Cambrian United · Flint Town Utd

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Cambrian United1.47
Flint Town Utd1.29
1X2
41% 26% 33%
Cambrian United Draw Flint Town Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cambrian United 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWWWWLLD
Flint Town Utd 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WDDLLLDWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cambrian United 1548 · Flint Town Utd 1462
Cambrian UnitedDrawFlint Town Utd
Our model40%28%32%
Market41%25%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cambrian United (rating 1548 vs 1462).
  • High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cambrian UnitedFlint Town Utd
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 0.91.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.41.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 7.43.4 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.12.9 / 0.3

Standings · Wales Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cardiff MU 2200 816
2 Llandudno 2200 726
3 Barry Town 2200 536
4 Colwyn Bay 2110 424
5 T.N.S. 2110 204
6 Briton Ferry 2110 324
7 Penybont 2110 214
8 Connah's Quay 2101 433
9 Caernarfon Town 2101 333
10 Airbus UK 2101 123
11 Ammanford AFC 2011 341
12 Cambrian United 2011 231
13 Flint Town Utd 2002 460
14 Haverfordwest County 2002 030
15 Trefelin BGC 2002 060
16 Holywell Town 2002 290

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCambrian UnitedFlint Town Utd
Briton Ferry 1-1 D 0-0 D
Barry Town 1-2 L 2-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cambrian United

WWDWWWWLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Briton Ferry
Wales Premier League
0-1 1-1 56 D
31/07 Barry Town
Wales Premier League
0-0 1-2 14 L
10/07 Merthyr Town
UK Friendlies
1-1 2-4 20 L
26/06 Newport City FC
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-0 124 W
18/04 Llantwit Major
Wales Championship South
2-1 3-1 96 W
03/04 Baglan Dragons
Wales Championship South
1-0 2-0 91 W
27/03 Cwmbran Celtic
Wales Championship South
1-1 2-1 102 W
24/03 Ammanford AFC
Wales Championship South
0-0 0-0 104 D
21/03 Aberystwyth
Wales Championship South
1-0 2-0 113 W
17/03 Trefelin BGC
Wales Championship South
1-0 4-0 52 W

Flint Town Utd

WDDLLLDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Barry Town
Wales Premier League
2-1 2-3 46 L
31/07 Llandudno
Wales Premier League
2-1 2-3 27 L
27/06 Rhyl
UK Friendlies
2-2 3-2 30 W
18/04 Cardiff MU
Wales Premier League
1-0 2-2 93 D
12/04 Caernarfon Town
Wales Cup
0-3 0-3 52 L
03/04 Haverfordwest County
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-1 82 L
28/03 Llanelli Town
Wales Premier League
0-1 1-2 103 L
21/03 Briton Ferry
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-0 64 D
14/03 Bala Town
Wales Premier League
1-0 1-1 42 D
07/03 Bangor 1876 FC
Wales Cup
3-0 5-1 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cambrian United vs Flint Town Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cambrian United win (41%). Probabilities: Cambrian United 41%, draw 26%, Flint Town Utd 33%.

How many goals are expected in Cambrian United vs Flint Town Utd?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Cambrian United 1.47 · Flint Town Utd 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cambrian United vs Flint Town Utd?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.