Prediction: Airbus UK vs Ammanford AFC
Team pages: Airbus UK · Ammanford AFC
| Airbus UK | Draw | Ammanford AFC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 48% | 25% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Airbus UK (rating 1588 vs 1539).
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Airbus UK | Ammanford AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 0.9 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0.4 |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff MU | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Llandudno | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Barry Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Colwyn Bay | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | T.N.S. | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Briton Ferry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Penybont | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Connah's Quay | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Caernarfon Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Airbus UK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Ammanford AFC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Cambrian United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Airbus UK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Denbigh Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 30/06 | Mold Alexandra UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Holywell Town Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/03 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
3-0 | 8-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/03 | Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
Ammanford AFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/07 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Cwmbran Celtic Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | Newport City FC Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Treowen Stars Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 5-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 24/03 | Cambrian United Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/03 | Baglan Dragons Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 14/03 | Llantwit Major Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 06/03 | Cardiff Draconians Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 01/03 | Afan Lido Wales Championship South |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Airbus UK vs Ammanford AFC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Airbus UK win (47%). Probabilities: Airbus UK 47%, draw 25%, Ammanford AFC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Airbus UK vs Ammanford AFC?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Airbus UK 1.66 · Ammanford AFC 1.21), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Airbus UK vs Ammanford AFC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.