Football · Wales Premier League · 21/08, 20:45

Prediction: Cardiff MU vs T.N.S.

Team pages: Cardiff MU · T.N.S.

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Cardiff MU0.78
T.N.S.2.03
1X2
13% 21% 66%
Cardiff MU Draw T.N.S.
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Cardiff MU 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LDWWWDDWWL
T.N.S. 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDWLLLWDWW
Head-to-head
Cardiff MU 2–4 T.N.S. (6 last)
  • Cardiff MU2-1T.N.S.
  • T.N.S.2-3Cardiff MU
  • Cardiff MU1-3T.N.S.
  • Cardiff MU0-6T.N.S.
  • T.N.S.3-1Cardiff MU
  • Cardiff MU0-2T.N.S.
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cardiff MU 1555 · T.N.S. 1534
Cardiff MUDrawT.N.S.
Our model13%22%65%
Market14%20%67%
Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours T.N.S.: 4-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cardiff MUT.N.S.
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 10.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.60.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.62.7 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.6 / 0.22.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cardiff MU 204 T.N.S.

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/11/25
Wales Cup
Cardiff MU2-1
HT 0-1
T.N.S.
07/11/25
Wales Premier League
T.N.S.2-3
HT 0-2
Cardiff MU
19/09/25
Wales Premier League
Cardiff MU1-3
HT 1-3
T.N.S.
22/03/25
Wales Premier League
Cardiff MU0-6
HT 0-2
T.N.S.
01/02/25
Wales Premier League
T.N.S.3-1
HT 1-1
Cardiff MU
14/01/25
Wales Premier League
Cardiff MU0-2
HT 0-1
T.N.S.

Standings · Wales Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Llandudno 3300 1039
2 Barry Town 3300 639
3 Penybont 3210 517
4 T.N.S. 3210 307
5 Connah's Quay 3201 1036
6 Cardiff MU 3201 826
7 Caernarfon Town 3201 636
8 Airbus UK 3201 326
9 Briton Ferry 3111 334
9 Cambrian United 3111 334
11 Colwyn Bay 3111 454
12 Ammanford AFC 3012 361
13 Flint Town Utd 3003 470
14 Haverfordwest County 3003 060
15 Holywell Town 3003 3120
16 Trefelin BGC 3003 0120

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCardiff MUT.N.S.
Barry Town 0-1 L 1-0 W
Briton Ferry 1-3 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: T.N.S. (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cardiff MU

LDWWWDDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Barry Town
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-1 61 L
07/08 Airbus UK
Wales Premier League
1-0 2-0 13 W
01/08 Holywell Town
Wales Premier League
3-0 6-1 68 W
24/07 Ebbsfleet United
UK Friendlies
0-1 1-1 00 D
18/07 Brackley
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 100 D
07/07 Carmarthen
UK Friendlies
1-1 3-1 60 W
04/07 Afan Lido
UK Friendlies
0-0 2-1 31 W
26/06 Pontardawe Town
UK Friendlies
4-0 5-0 50 W
18/04 Flint Town Utd
Wales Premier League
0-1 2-2 53 D
03/04 Briton Ferry
Wales Premier League
0-3 1-3 42 L

T.N.S.

WDWLLLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Briton Ferry
Wales Premier League
0-0 1-0 45 W
07/08 Haverfordwest County
Wales Premier League
1-0 2-0 81 W
02/08 Penybont
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-0 72 D
30/07 FC Flora Tallinn
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 1-0 68 W
23/07 FC Flora Tallinn
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-1 0-1 31 L
14/07 Sabah
UEFA Champions League Qualifying
0-2 1-2 33 L
07/07 Sabah
UEFA Champions League Qualifying
0-0 0-2 26 L
26/06 HW Welders
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-1 21 W
24/06 Glentoran
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-1 40 D
18/04 Barry Town
Wales Premier League
1-0 1-0 61 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cardiff MU vs T.N.S.?

According to our model, the most likely result is an T.N.S. win (66%). Probabilities: Cardiff MU 13%, draw 21%, T.N.S. 66%.

How many goals are expected in Cardiff MU vs T.N.S.?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Cardiff MU 0.78 · T.N.S. 2.03), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cardiff MU vs T.N.S.?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.