Prediction: Penybont vs Flint Town Utd
Team pages: Penybont · Flint Town Utd
- Penybont0-0Flint Town Utd
- Flint Town Utd3-4Penybont
- Penybont5-0Flint Town Utd
- Penybont3-1Flint Town Utd
- Flint Town Utd0-1Penybont
- Flint Town Utd1-1Penybont
| Penybont | Draw | Flint Town Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| Market | 60% | 23% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Penybont (rating 1526 vs 1425).
- H2H favours Penybont: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Penybont | Flint Town Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.7 | 2.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Penybont 4–2–0 Flint Town Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 Wales Cup | Penybont | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Flint Town Utd |
| 01/11/25 Wales Premier League | Flint Town Utd | 3-4 HT 1-1 | Penybont |
| 13/09/25 Wales Premier League | Penybont | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Flint Town Utd |
| 09/11/24 Wales Premier League | Penybont | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Flint Town Utd |
| 28/09/24 Wales Premier League | Flint Town Utd | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Penybont |
| 01/10/22 Wales Premier League | Flint Town Utd | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Penybont |
Standings · Wales Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | T.N.S. | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Connah's Quay | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Llandudno | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Cambrian United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Colwyn Bay | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Cardiff MU | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Airbus UK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 | Holywell Town | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 | Trefelin BGC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Penybont | Flint Town Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Llandudno | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Haverfordwest County | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Barry Town | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Penybont (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Penybont
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 21/03 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Flint Town Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 14/08 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 31/07 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 03/04 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Llanelli Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/03 | Bala Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 01/03 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Penybont vs Flint Town Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Penybont win (60%). Probabilities: Penybont 60%, draw 24%, Flint Town Utd 17%.
How many goals are expected in Penybont vs Flint Town Utd?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Penybont 1.88 · Flint Town Utd 0.9), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Penybont vs Flint Town Utd?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.