Football · Wales Premier League · 28/08, 20:45

Prediction: Cardiff MU vs Briton Ferry

Team pages: Cardiff MU · Briton Ferry

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Cardiff MU1.4
Briton Ferry1.32
1X2
39% 27% 35%
Cardiff MU Draw Briton Ferry
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cardiff MU 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLWWLDWWLL
Briton Ferry 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDLWWWDLW
Head-to-head
Cardiff MU 1–2–3 Briton Ferry (6 last)
  • Briton Ferry3-1Cardiff MU
  • Cardiff MU0-2Briton Ferry
  • Cardiff MU2-2Briton Ferry
  • Briton Ferry1-1Cardiff MU
  • Cardiff MU1-3Briton Ferry
  • Briton Ferry1-5Cardiff MU
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cardiff MU 1529 · Briton Ferry 1540
Cardiff MUDrawBriton Ferry
Our model38%28%34%
Market39%26%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Briton Ferry: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cardiff MUBriton Ferry
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.71.3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.41.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.32.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cardiff MU 123 Briton Ferry

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/04/26
Wales Premier League
Briton Ferry3-1
HT 3-0
Cardiff MU
16/03/26
Wales Premier League
Cardiff MU0-2
HT 0-0
Briton Ferry
16/12/25
Wales Premier League
Cardiff MU2-2
HT 1-0
Briton Ferry
15/08/25
Wales Premier League
Briton Ferry1-1
HT 1-0
Cardiff MU
26/12/24
Wales Premier League
Cardiff MU1-3
HT 1-1
Briton Ferry
23/08/24
Wales Premier League
Briton Ferry1-5
HT 0-2
Cardiff MU

Standings · Wales Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Barry Town 4400 9412
2 T.N.S. 4310 8010
3 Penybont 4310 7210
4 Connah's Quay 4301 1239
5 Llandudno 4301 1159
6 Caernarfon Town 4301 839
7 Cambrian United 4211 637
8 Briton Ferry 4211 437
9 Colwyn Bay 4211 557
10 Cardiff MU 4202 876
11 Airbus UK 4202 336
12 Ammanford AFC 4013 381
13 Flint Town Utd 4004 480
14 Haverfordwest County 4004 090
15 Holywell Town 4004 4150
16 Trefelin BGC 4004 0140

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCardiff MUBriton Ferry
T.N.S. 0-5 L 0-1 L
Flint Town Utd 2-2 D 1-0 W
Bala Town 2-1 W 2-1 W
Llanelli Town 2-1 W 2-0 W
Haverfordwest County 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Briton Ferry (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cardiff MU

LLWWLDWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 T.N.S.
Wales Premier League
0-1 0-5 14 L
15/08 Barry Town
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-1 61 L
07/08 Airbus UK
Wales Premier League
1-0 2-0 13 W
01/08 Holywell Town
Wales Premier League
3-0 6-1 68 W
18/04 Flint Town Utd
Wales Premier League
0-1 2-2 53 D
03/04 Briton Ferry
Wales Premier League
0-3 1-3 42 L
28/03 Bala Town
Wales Premier League
0-1 2-1 73 W
20/03 Llanelli Town
Wales Premier League
1-0 2-1 45 W
16/03 Briton Ferry
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-2 82 L
13/03 Haverfordwest County
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-1 26 L

Briton Ferry

WWDLWWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 Flint Town Utd
Wales Premier League
1-0 1-0 32 W
14/08 T.N.S.
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-1 15 L
07/08 Cambrian United
Wales Premier League
1-0 1-1 46 D
31/07 Ammanford AFC
Wales Premier League
1-1 2-1 92 W
18/04 Bala Town
Wales Premier League
0-0 2-1 51 W
03/04 Cardiff MU
Wales Premier League
3-0 3-1 92 W
28/03 Haverfordwest County
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-1 05 L
21/03 Flint Town Utd
Wales Premier League
0-0 0-0 24 D
16/03 Cardiff MU
Wales Premier League
0-0 2-0 12 W
13/03 Llanelli Town
Wales Premier League
1-0 2-0 30 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cardiff MU vs Briton Ferry?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cardiff MU win (39%). Probabilities: Cardiff MU 39%, draw 27%, Briton Ferry 35%.

How many goals are expected in Cardiff MU vs Briton Ferry?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Cardiff MU 1.4 · Briton Ferry 1.32), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cardiff MU vs Briton Ferry?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.