Prediction: T.N.S. vs Colwyn Bay
Team pages: T.N.S. · Colwyn Bay
- T.N.S.0-2Colwyn Bay
- Colwyn Bay0-2T.N.S.
- T.N.S.1-0Colwyn Bay
- Colwyn Bay1-1T.N.S.
- T.N.S.4-1Colwyn Bay
- T.N.S.6-1Colwyn Bay
| T.N.S. | Draw | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 22% | 9% |
| Market | 71% | 18% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours T.N.S. (rating 1593 vs 1508).
- H2H favours T.N.S.: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| T.N.S. | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.4 | 2.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · T.N.S. 4–1–1 Colwyn Bay
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Wales Premier League | T.N.S. | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Colwyn Bay |
| 13/02/26 Wales Premier League | Colwyn Bay | 0-2 HT 0-0 | T.N.S. |
| 13/01/26 Wales Premier League | T.N.S. | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Colwyn Bay |
| 25/08/25 Wales Premier League | Colwyn Bay | 1-1 HT 0-0 | T.N.S. |
| 15/12/24 Wales Cup | T.N.S. | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Colwyn Bay |
| 31/10/23 Wales Premier League | T.N.S. | 6-1 HT 1-1 | Colwyn Bay |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | T.N.S. | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Connah's Quay | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Llandudno | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Cambrian United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Colwyn Bay | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Cardiff MU | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Airbus UK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 | Holywell Town | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 | Trefelin BGC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | T.N.S. | Colwyn Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Barry Town | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Connah's Quay | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Caernarfon Town | 4-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: T.N.S. (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
T.N.S.
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/08 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 27/03 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/03 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/03 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Colwyn Bay
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 31/07 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 03/04 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 20/03 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/03 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in T.N.S. vs Colwyn Bay?
According to our model, the most likely result is a T.N.S. win (70%). Probabilities: T.N.S. 70%, draw 20%, Colwyn Bay 10%.
How many goals are expected in T.N.S. vs Colwyn Bay?
The model expects 2.41 goals (T.N.S. 1.87 · Colwyn Bay 0.54), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in T.N.S. vs Colwyn Bay?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.