Football · Wales Premier League · 31/08, 15:30
Prediction: Briton Ferry vs Barry Town
Team pages: Briton Ferry · Barry Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Briton Ferry1.12
Barry Town1.51
1X2
Briton Ferry
Draw
Barry Town
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Briton Ferry
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Barry Town
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Briton Ferry
2–1–3
Barry Town
(6 last)
- Briton Ferry2-1Barry Town
- Barry Town0-1Briton Ferry
- Barry Town5-0Briton Ferry
- Briton Ferry3-4Barry Town
- Briton Ferry0-0Barry Town
- Barry Town3-1Briton Ferry
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Briton Ferry 1533 · Barry Town 1577
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Barry Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 28% | 45% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barry Town (rating 1533 vs 1577).
- H2H favours Barry Town: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Briton Ferry | Barry Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 4.5 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Briton Ferry 2–1–3 Barry Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/25 Wales Premier League | Briton Ferry | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Barry Town |
| 07/10/25 Wales Premier League | Barry Town | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Briton Ferry |
| 19/04/25 Wales Premier League | Barry Town | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Briton Ferry |
| 07/03/25 Wales Premier League | Briton Ferry | 3-4 HT 1-2 | Barry Town |
| 31/12/24 Wales Premier League | Briton Ferry | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Barry Town |
| 12/10/24 Wales Premier League | Barry Town | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Briton Ferry |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | T.N.S. | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Connah's Quay | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Llandudno | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Cambrian United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Colwyn Bay | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Cardiff MU | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | Airbus UK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 | Holywell Town | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 | Trefelin BGC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Briton Ferry | Barry Town |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff MU | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Flint Town Utd | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| T.N.S. | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Cambrian United | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Haverfordwest County | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Barry Town (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Briton Ferry
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Bala Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/03 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Barry Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/08 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/07 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 21/03 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Briton Ferry vs Barry Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Barry Town win (46%). Probabilities: Briton Ferry 28%, draw 27%, Barry Town 46%.
How many goals are expected in Briton Ferry vs Barry Town?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Briton Ferry 1.12 · Barry Town 1.51), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Briton Ferry vs Barry Town?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.