Football · Wales Premier League · 09/10, 20:45

Prediction: Llandudno vs Airbus UK

Team pages: Llandudno · Airbus UK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Llandudno1.87

Airbus UK1.45

1X2

46% 24% 29%

Llandudno Draw Airbus UK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Llandudno 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLDLLL

Airbus UK 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Llandudno 1–5 Airbus UK (6 last)

Airbus UK3-1Llandudno
Llandudno5-0Airbus UK
Llandudno1-2Airbus UK
Airbus UK5-0Llandudno
Llandudno1-5Airbus UK
Airbus UK2-1Llandudno

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Llandudno 1468 · Airbus UK 1505

	Llandudno	Draw	Airbus UK
Our model	46%	24%	29%
Market	46%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Airbus UK: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Llandudno	Airbus UK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	2.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.70

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:34 +20’	1.95	3.70	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Llandudno 1–0–5 Airbus UK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Wales Championship North	Airbus UK	3-1 HT 1-0	Llandudno
31/10/25 Wales Championship North	Llandudno	5-0 HT 2-0	Airbus UK
13/09/24 Wales Championship North	Llandudno	1-2 HT 1-0	Airbus UK
06/08/24 Wales Championship North	Airbus UK	5-0 HT 3-0	Llandudno
08/03/24 Wales Championship North	Llandudno	1-5 HT 1-0	Airbus UK
28/08/23 Wales Championship North	Airbus UK	2-1 HT 0-1	Llandudno

Standings · Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	T.N.S.	12	11	1	0	38	5	34
2	Connah's Quay	12	9	1	2	28	8	28
3	Penybont	12	8	3	1	22	10	27
4	Barry Town	12	8	1	3	27	20	25
5	Caernarfon Town	12	7	2	3	35	14	23
6	Colwyn Bay	12	7	1	4	21	15	22
7	Cardiff MU	12	6	3	3	23	13	21
8	Airbus UK	12	6	0	6	21	17	18
9	Cambrian United	12	5	3	4	21	32	18
10	Llandudno	12	5	1	6	21	19	16
11	Briton Ferry	12	3	3	6	11	20	12
12	Haverfordwest County	12	3	1	8	7	17	10
13	Flint Town Utd	12	2	2	8	12	24	8
14	Ammanford AFC	12	1	3	8	9	32	6
15	Trefelin BGC	12	0	3	9	5	30	3
16	Holywell Town	12	0	2	10	13	38	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Llandudno	Airbus UK
T.N.S.	1-2 L	0-2 L
Barry Town	1-4 L	2-4 L
Ammanford AFC	2-0 W	2-0 W
Colwyn Bay	0-2 L	0-1 L
Penybont	1-2 L	1-2 L
Holywell Town	3-1 W	6-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Airbus UK (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Llandudno

WLWLWLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Cardiff MU Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
26/09	Cambrian United Wales Premier League	0-3	3-4	4	4	L
19/09	T.N.S. Wales Premier League	1-0	1-2	2	7	L
15/09	Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
11/09	Barry Town Wales Premier League	0-2	1-4	4	9	L
04/09	Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
31/08	Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
28/08	Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League	0-0	2-0	4	8	W
21/08	Penybont Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
14/08	Holywell Town Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	12	6	W

Airbus UK

WLLWWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
26/09	Penybont Wales Premier League	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
18/09	Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League	3-0	4-1	6	4	W
15/09	Connah's Quay Wales Premier League	0-0	0-3	0	4	L
11/09	T.N.S. Wales Premier League	0-2	0-2	4	2	L
04/09	Briton Ferry Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
31/08	Holywell Town Wales Premier League	3-1	6-2	0	0	W
28/08	Barry Town Wales Premier League	0-1	2-4	4	6	L
21/08	Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
14/08	Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Llandudno vs Airbus UK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Llandudno win (46%). Probabilities: Llandudno 46%, draw 24%, Airbus UK 29%.

How many goals are expected in Llandudno vs Airbus UK?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Llandudno 1.87 · Airbus UK 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Llandudno vs Airbus UK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.