Football · Wales Premier League · 10/10, 18:15
Prediction: Flint Town Utd vs Colwyn Bay
Team pages: Flint Town Utd · Colwyn Bay
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Flint Town Utd0.98
Colwyn Bay1.67
1X2
Flint Town Utd
Draw
Colwyn Bay
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Flint Town Utd
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Colwyn Bay
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Flint Town Utd
2–1–3
Colwyn Bay
(6 last)
- Colwyn Bay1-2Flint Town Utd
- Flint Town Utd0-1Colwyn Bay
- Colwyn Bay1-1Flint Town Utd
- Colwyn Bay3-1Flint Town Utd
- Flint Town Utd3-2Colwyn Bay
- Flint Town Utd1-2Colwyn Bay
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Flint Town Utd 1464 · Colwyn Bay 1530
| Flint Town Utd | Draw | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 27% | 52% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colwyn Bay (rating 1464 vs 1530).
- H2H favours Colwyn Bay: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Flint Town Utd | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.4 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Flint Town Utd 2–1–3 Colwyn Bay
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/26 Wales Premier League | Colwyn Bay | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Flint Town Utd |
| 07/10/25 Wales Premier League | Flint Town Utd | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Colwyn Bay |
| 09/08/22 Wales League Cup | Colwyn Bay | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Flint Town Utd |
| 23/07/22 Club Friendly List | Colwyn Bay | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Flint Town Utd |
| 24/01/20 Wales Cup | Flint Town Utd | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Colwyn Bay |
| 14/12/19 Wales Championship North | Flint Town Utd | 1-2 | Colwyn Bay |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T.N.S. | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 5 | 34 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff MU | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 32 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 2 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Flint Town Utd | Colwyn Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Haverfordwest County | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Airbus UK | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| T.N.S. | 0-5 L | 1-5 L |
| Caernarfon Town | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Connah's Quay | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Penybont | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Briton Ferry | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Colwyn Bay (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flint Town Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 26/09 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/09 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 11/09 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/09 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 21/08 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 14/08 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
Colwyn Bay
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/09 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 18/09 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 5-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/09 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
5-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flint Town Utd vs Colwyn Bay?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Colwyn Bay win (53%). Probabilities: Flint Town Utd 22%, draw 25%, Colwyn Bay 53%.
How many goals are expected in Flint Town Utd vs Colwyn Bay?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Flint Town Utd 0.98 · Colwyn Bay 1.67), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Flint Town Utd vs Colwyn Bay?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.