Prediction: Virginia United SC (W) vs Peninsula Power (W)
Expected goals: 3.12 (Virginia United SC (W) 1.64 · Peninsula Power (W) 1.49). The model gives 41% home, 25% draw, 34% away. Under 3.5 goals (57%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Virginia United SC (W) with 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Peninsula Power (W) has piled up 3-2-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Virginia United SC (W) and 3 for Peninsula Power (W), with 2 draws.
| Virginia United SC (W) | Draw | Peninsula Power (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Virginia United SC (W) (rating 1494 vs 1452).
- H2H favours Peninsula Power (W): 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Virginia United SC (W) | Peninsula Power (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.6 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.1 / 0 | 1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Virginia United SC (W) 1–2–3 Peninsula Power (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Peninsula Power (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Virginia United SC (W) |
| 20/02/26 Australia Queensland Pro Series Women | Virginia United SC (W) | 1-0 | Peninsula Power (W) |
| 06/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Peninsula Power (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Virginia United SC (W) |
| 18/06/25 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Virginia United SC (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Peninsula Power (W) |
| 17/09/22 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Peninsula Power (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Virginia United SC (W) |
| 26/07/22 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Peninsula Power (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Virginia United SC (W) |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caboolture FC (W) | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | North Lakes United (W) | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | The Gap NPL (W) | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 16 |
| 4 | Palm Beach SC (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 15 |
| 5 | Logan Lightning (W) | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 15 |
| 6 | Virginia United SC (W) | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 14 |
| 7 | Mitchelton FC (W) | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 12 |
| 8 | Peninsula Power (W) | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 11 |
| 9 | Grange Thistle (W) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 8 |
| 10 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Virginia United SC (W) | Peninsula Power (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning (W) | 2-0 W | 2-4 L |
| North Lakes United (W) | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| The Gap NPL (W) | 1-0 W | 3-5 L |
| Palm Beach SC (W) | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Caboolture FC (W) | 0-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Mitchelton FC (W) | 0-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Grange Thistle (W) | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Virginia United SC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/03 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
Peninsula Power (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 15/06 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 09/06 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Pro Series Women |
1-5 | 1-11 | – | – | L |
| 10/04 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 28/03 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Virginia United SC (W) vs Peninsula Power (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Virginia United SC (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Virginia United SC (W) 41%, draw 25%, Peninsula Power (W) 34%.
How many goals are expected in Virginia United SC (W) vs Peninsula Power (W)?
The model expects 3.12 goals (Virginia United SC (W) 1.64 · Peninsula Power (W) 1.49), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Virginia United SC (W) vs Peninsula Power (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.