Football · Brazil Serie D · 04/07, 22:00

Prediction: Goiatuba vs Manauara EC

Expected goals: 1.86 (Goiatuba 1.12 · Manauara EC 0.75). The model gives 44% home, 32% draw, 24% away. Under 2 goals (55%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 0-0.

Recent form leaves Goiatuba with 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Manauara EC has piled up 6-4-0 in the same span.

44%1
44% 32% 24%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Goiatuba 1542 · Manauara EC 1573
GoiatubaDrawManauara EC
Our model43%34%23%
Market45%31%25%
Estimated total (ours) 1.86 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals1.86Goiatuba 1.12 · Manauara EC 0.75
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 55%
BTTSNo · 54%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GoiatubaManauara EC
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.51.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.82.8 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.14.1 / 0.2

Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A4

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Capital CF 10721 16623
2 Goiatuba 10541 13719
3 Ceilandia 10334 91012
4 Mixto 10262 10912
5 Uniao Rondonopolis 10235 11189
6 Operario VG 10127 7165

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Goiatuba

WWWDLDDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Brasiliense
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 65 W
21/06 Brasiliense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 66 D
07/06 Operario VG
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 116 W
30/05 Ceilandia
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-1 28 D
23/05 Capital CF
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 76 D
16/05 Mixto
Brazil Serie D
0-2 0-2 55 L
10/05 Uniao Rondonopolis
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 D
02/05 Uniao Rondonopolis
Brazil Serie D
2-1 5-1 32 W
25/04 Mixto
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 51 W
19/04 Capital CF
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 72 W

Manauara EC

DWWDWDWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Independencia
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 53 D
21/06 Independencia
Brazil Serie D
1-0 2-0 46 W
14/06 Sao Raimundo RR
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 51 W
31/05 Monte Roraima
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 84 W
24/05 Manaus
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 107 D
16/05 Nacional AM
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 44 W
10/05 GA Sampaio
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 124 D
05/05 GA Sampaio
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-1 54 W
25/04 Nacional AM
Brazil Serie D
0-1 4-2 67 W
19/04 Manaus
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 93 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Goiatuba vs Manauara EC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Goiatuba win (44%). Probabilities: Goiatuba 44%, draw 32%, Manauara EC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Goiatuba vs Manauara EC?

The model expects 1.86 goals (Goiatuba 1.12 · Manauara EC 0.75), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Goiatuba vs Manauara EC?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.