Football · Brazil Serie D · 12/07, 22:00
Prediction: Treze vs CRAC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Treze1.32
CRAC0.72
1X2
Treze
Draw
CRAC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Treze
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
CRAC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Treze
1–1–1
CRAC
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Treze 1512 · CRAC 1539
| Treze | Draw | CRAC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 31% | 19% |
| Market | 51% | 28% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Treze | CRAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 1.9 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Treze 1–1–1 CRAC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 Brazil Serie D | CRAC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Treze |
| 07/09/14 Brazil Serie C | CRAC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Treze |
| 25/05/14 Brazil Serie C | Treze | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CRAC |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A11
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uberlandia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Betim FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | CRAC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Ivinhema | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 13 |
| 5 | ABECAT Ouvidorense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Operario FC MS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Treze
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | CRAC Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 28/06 | Jacuipense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Jacuipense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Retro FC Brasil Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Decisao Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | Lagarto Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | CS Sergipe Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Serra Branca EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Decisao Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Serra Branca EC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
CRAC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Treze Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 27/06 | Tombense MG Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 21/06 | Tombense MG Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Ivinhema Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Operario FC MS Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Uberlandia Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | ABECAT Ouvidorense Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 14 | W |
| 09/05 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | ABECAT Ouvidorense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Treze vs CRAC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Treze win (51%). Probabilities: Treze 51%, draw 29%, CRAC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Treze vs CRAC?
The model expects 2.05 goals (Treze 1.32 · CRAC 0.72), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Treze vs CRAC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.