Football · Brazil Serie D · 14/07, 01:00
Prediction: CSA vs Betim FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
CSA1.74
Betim FC0.69
1X2
CSA
Draw
Betim FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CSA
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Betim FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSA
0–1
Betim FC
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSA 1557 · Betim FC 1509
| CSA | Draw | Betim FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 25% | 13% |
| Market | 62% | 24% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSA (rating 1557 vs 1509).
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSA | Betim FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.8 | 1.5 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSA 0–0–1 Betim FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 Brazil Serie D | Betim FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CSA |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A11
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uberlandia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Betim FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | CRAC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Ivinhema | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 13 |
| 5 | ABECAT Ouvidorense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Operario FC MS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Lagarto Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Lagarto Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Atletico Alagoinhas Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Jacuipense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | ASA Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | CSE Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Juazeirense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Juazeirense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | CSE Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
Betim FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | CSA Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Vitoria ES Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Vitoria ES Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Operario FC MS Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | ABECAT Ouvidorense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Ivinhema Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Uberlandia Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | CRAC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | CRAC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Uberlandia Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSA vs Betim FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSA win (62%). Probabilities: CSA 62%, draw 25%, Betim FC 14%.
How many goals are expected in CSA vs Betim FC?
The model expects 2.42 goals (CSA 1.74 · Betim FC 0.69), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CSA vs Betim FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.