Football · Brazil Serie D · 12/07, 23:00

Prediction: Guaporé RO vs Luverdense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Guaporé RO1.11

Luverdense1.27

1X2

31% 30% 39%

Guaporé RO Draw Luverdense

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Guaporé RO 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWDLWL

Luverdense 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLLLWDWWDW

Head-to-head

Guaporé RO 0–2 Luverdense (2 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guaporé RO 1518 · Luverdense 1515

	Guaporé RO	Draw	Luverdense
Our model	31%	30%	39%
Market	31%	29%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Luverdense: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guaporé RO	Luverdense
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.6	2.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	5.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guaporé RO 0–0–2 Luverdense

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Brazil Serie D	Luverdense	1-0 HT 1-0	Guaporé RO
11/01/20 World Club Friendlies	Luverdense	2-0 HT 1-0	Guaporé RO

Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SE Gama	10	8	2	0	23	6	26
2	Luverdense	10	4	3	3	11	10	15
3	Brasiliense	10	3	5	2	11	10	14
4	Aparecidense	10	3	4	3	13	12	13
5	AC Primavera	10	3	3	4	10	13	12
6	Inhumas	10	0	1	9	3	20	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Guaporé RO

WLDDWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Luverdense Brazil Serie D	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
28/06	Monte Roraima Brazil Serie D	2-0	2-0	9	3	W
20/06	Monte Roraima Brazil Serie D	0-1	2-3	3	6	L
14/06	Independencia Brazil Serie D	2-1	2-2	2	3	D
31/05	Araguaina Brazil Serie D	1-1	3-2	5	6	W
24/05	Humaita Brazil Serie D	3-0	4-0	7	2	W
17/05	Porto Velho EC Brazil Serie D	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/05	Galvez AC Brazil Serie D	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
30/04	Nacional AM Brazil Copa Norte	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
26/04	Porto Velho EC Brazil Serie D	0-0	1-0	5	6	W

Luverdense

DLLLWDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Guaporé RO Brazil Serie D	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
28/06	Ceilandia Brazil Serie D	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
20/06	Ceilandia Brazil Serie D	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
07/06	Inhumas Brazil Serie D	1-0	4-0	6	3	W
31/05	Brasiliense Brazil Serie D	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
24/05	Aparecidense Brazil Serie D	0-0	1-0	11	7	W
17/05	AC Primavera Brazil Serie D	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
09/05	SE Gama Brazil Serie D	1-1	1-2	5	8	L
03/05	SE Gama Brazil Serie D	0-2	0-4	3	6	L
25/04	AC Primavera Brazil Serie D	0-1	1-1	9	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guaporé RO vs Luverdense?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Luverdense win (39%). Probabilities: Guaporé RO 31%, draw 30%, Luverdense 39%.

How many goals are expected in Guaporé RO vs Luverdense?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Guaporé RO 1.11 · Luverdense 1.27), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Guaporé RO vs Luverdense?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.