Prediction: Velo Clube SP vs Sao Luiz
Expected goals: 2.02 (Velo Clube SP 1.25 · Sao Luiz 0.77). The model gives 47% home, 31% draw, 22% away. Under 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-0.
On recent form, Velo Clube SP is 2-6-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Sao Luiz 4-4-2 over its own.
| Velo Clube SP | Draw | Sao Luiz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 32% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 31% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Velo Clube SP | Sao Luiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 5.6 | 1.1 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.5 | 6.9 / 0.4 |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A15
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Cianorte | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Cascavel | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Sao Luiz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Joinville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarany de Bage | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Velo Clube SP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | EC Agua Santa Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 21/06 | EC Agua Santa Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Marica RJ Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Sampaio Correa RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 24/05 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Noroeste Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Nova Iguacu Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 03/05 | Nova Iguacu Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Noroeste Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Sao Luiz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Blumenau EC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 9 | D |
| 20/06 | Blumenau EC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 07/06 | Joinville Brazil Serie D |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | FC Cascavel Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Santa Catarina Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Guarany de Bage Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Cianorte Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Cianorte Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Guarany de Bage Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 18/04 | Santa Catarina Brazil Serie D |
3-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Velo Clube SP vs Sao Luiz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Velo Clube SP win (47%). Probabilities: Velo Clube SP 47%, draw 31%, Sao Luiz 22%.
How many goals are expected in Velo Clube SP vs Sao Luiz?
The model expects 2.02 goals (Velo Clube SP 1.25 · Sao Luiz 0.77), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Velo Clube SP vs Sao Luiz?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.