Football · Wales Premier League · 05/09, 18:15

Prediction: T.N.S. vs Barry Town

Team pages: T.N.S. · Barry Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

T.N.S.1.98

Barry Town0.74

1X2

67% 20% 13%

T.N.S. Draw Barry Town

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

T.N.S. 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWWWWW

Barry Town 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWLDWWWWWW

Head-to-head

T.N.S. 4–1–1 Barry Town (6 last)

Barry Town0-1T.N.S.
T.N.S.0-2Barry Town
T.N.S.1-0Barry Town
T.N.S.4-0Barry Town
Barry Town0-0T.N.S.
Barry Town1-2T.N.S.

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · T.N.S. 1579 · Barry Town 1597

	T.N.S.	Draw	Barry Town
Our model	66%	22%	12%
Market	67%	19%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours T.N.S.: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	T.N.S.	Barry Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.6	2.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 6.7	2.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.75

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:57 +6’	1.33	4.75	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · T.N.S. 4–1–1 Barry Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Wales Premier League	Barry Town	0-1 HT 0-1	T.N.S.
28/02/26 Wales League Cup	T.N.S.	0-2 HT 0-1	Barry Town
24/01/26 Wales Premier League	T.N.S.	1-0 HT 1-0	Barry Town
04/10/25 Wales Premier League	T.N.S.	4-0 HT 1-0	Barry Town
30/08/25 Wales Premier League	Barry Town	0-0 HT 0-0	T.N.S.
01/12/24 Wales League Cup	Barry Town	1-2 HT 0-2	T.N.S.

Standings · Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barry Town	6	6	0	0	17	7	18
2	T.N.S.	6	5	1	0	16	3	16
3	Connah's Quay	6	5	0	1	17	4	15
4	Cardiff MU	6	4	0	2	16	7	12
5	Caernarfon Town	6	4	0	2	15	9	12
6	Llandudno	6	4	0	2	13	7	12
7	Penybont	6	3	3	0	10	5	12
8	Colwyn Bay	6	3	1	2	8	10	10
9	Airbus UK	6	3	0	3	11	9	9
10	Cambrian United	6	2	2	2	8	8	8
11	Briton Ferry	6	2	1	3	5	10	7
12	Haverfordwest County	6	1	0	5	2	12	3
13	Ammanford AFC	6	0	2	4	4	14	2
14	Flint Town Utd	6	0	1	5	6	11	1
15	Trefelin BGC	6	0	1	5	2	17	1
16	Holywell Town	6	0	0	6	9	26	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	T.N.S.	Barry Town
Cardiff MU	5-0 W	1-0 W
Briton Ferry	1-0 W	4-1 W
Haverfordwest County	2-0 W	1-1 D
Penybont	0-0 D	2-0 W
Connah's Quay	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: T.N.S. (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

T.N.S.

LWWWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League	2-1	3-2	7	5	W
28/08	Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League	3-0	5-1	6	2	W
21/08	Cardiff MU Wales Premier League	1-0	5-0	8	4	W
14/08	Briton Ferry Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
07/08	Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	8	1	W
02/08	Penybont Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
18/04	Barry Town Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	1	W
03/04	Connah's Quay Wales Premier League	0-0	2-1	12	5	W
27/03	Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
20/03	Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League	0-2	0-2	3	3	L

Barry Town

DWLDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Briton Ferry Wales Premier League	2-0	4-1	3	4	W
28/08	Airbus UK Wales Premier League	1-0	4-2	5	6	W
21/08	Holywell Town Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	7	5	W
15/08	Cardiff MU Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
07/08	Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League	1-2	3-2	3	6	W
31/07	Cambrian United Wales Premier League	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
26/04	Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
18/04	T.N.S. Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
03/04	Penybont Wales Premier League	2-0	2-0	5	5	W
29/03	Connah's Quay Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in T.N.S. vs Barry Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a T.N.S. win (67%). Probabilities: T.N.S. 67%, draw 20%, Barry Town 13%.

How many goals are expected in T.N.S. vs Barry Town?

The model expects 2.72 goals (T.N.S. 1.98 · Barry Town 0.74), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in T.N.S. vs Barry Town?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.