Prediction: Penybont vs Colwyn Bay
Team pages: Penybont · Colwyn Bay
- Colwyn Bay0-0Penybont
- Penybont0-0Colwyn Bay
- Colwyn Bay3-1Penybont
- Colwyn Bay5-4Penybont
- Penybont1-0Colwyn Bay
- Penybont5-0Colwyn Bay
| Penybont | Draw | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Penybont | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 2.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Penybont 2–2–2 Colwyn Bay
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Wales Premier League | Colwyn Bay | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Penybont |
| 28/03/26 Wales Premier League | Penybont | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Colwyn Bay |
| 21/02/26 Wales Premier League | Colwyn Bay | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Penybont |
| 29/11/25 Wales Premier League | Colwyn Bay | 5-4 HT 4-2 | Penybont |
| 27/09/25 Wales Premier League | Penybont | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Colwyn Bay |
| 16/03/24 Wales Premier League | Penybont | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Colwyn Bay |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Town | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | T.N.S. | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | Connah's Quay | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Cardiff MU | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | Caernarfon Town | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Llandudno | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Penybont | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Colwyn Bay | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 9 | Airbus UK | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | Cambrian United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 7 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 3 |
| 13 | Ammanford AFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 2 |
| 14 | Flint Town Utd | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 1 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 1 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Penybont | Colwyn Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Llandudno | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Caernarfon Town | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| T.N.S. | 0-0 D | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Penybont (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Penybont
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Cambrian United Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 28/08 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 21/08 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Colwyn Bay
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | Airbus UK Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Ammanford AFC Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 31/07 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 03/04 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Penybont win (45%). Probabilities: Penybont 45%, draw 28%, Colwyn Bay 27%.
How many goals are expected in Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Penybont 1.45 · Colwyn Bay 1.08), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.