Football · Poland III Liga · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: KTS Weszlo vs Mlawianka Mlawa

Team pages: KTS Weszlo · Mlawianka Mlawa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
KTS Weszlo1.83
Mlawianka Mlawa1.45
1X2
46% 24% 30%
KTS Weszlo Draw Mlawianka Mlawa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
KTS Weszlo 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WDWWWLWWWW
Mlawianka Mlawa 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KTS Weszlo 1591 · Mlawianka Mlawa 1527
KTS WeszloDrawMlawianka Mlawa
Our model46%25%30%
Market46%24%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KTS Weszlo (rating 1591 vs 1527).
  • High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KTS WeszloMlawianka Mlawa
Goals for / against (FT)2.7 / 1.11.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.70.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 6.13.2 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.44.1 / 0.1

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Wislanie Jaskowice 2200 406
2 Wisla Krakow II 2200 636
3 Czarni Polaniec 2200 416
4 Chelmianka Chelm 2200 306
5 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 2110 424
5 Wisloka Debica 2110 424
7 KSZO Ostrowiec 2110 104
8 Moravia Morawica 2101 223
9 Naprzod Jedrzejow 2101 563
10 Hetman Zamosc 2020 222
11 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 2011 121
11 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2011 121
13 JKS Jaroslaw 2011 351
14 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 2011 241
14 Star Starachowice 2011 241
16 Korona Kielce II 2002 570
17 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 2002 030
18 Wieczysta Krakow II 2002 260

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKTS WeszloMlawianka Mlawa
LKS Lomza 1-0 W 1-2 L
Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki 2-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KTS Weszlo

WDWWWLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 LKS Lomza
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-0 23 W
31/07 Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Poland III Liga
2-1 2-1 65 W
15/07 CK Troszyn
Club Friendly List
1-1 6-2 W
06/06 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-0 35 W
09/05 Mazur Karczew
Poland IV Liga
1-1 1-2 97 L
02/05 MKS Przasnysz
Poland IV Liga
4-0 5-0 40 W
27/03 Talent Warsaw
Poland IV Liga
1-0 2-0 54 W
14/03 KS Lomianki
Poland IV Liga
2-2 4-2 72 W
21/11 Ozarowianka Ozarow
Poland IV Liga
0-2 2-2 78 D
08/11 Blonianka Blonie
Poland IV Liga
1-0 3-2 125 W

Mlawianka Mlawa

WWLLWWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Pelikan Lowicz
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-1 53 L
01/08 Warta Sieradz
Poland III Liga
1-1 2-1 63 W
25/07 Hutnik Warsaw
Europe Friendlies
2-1 4-2 74 W
30/05 LKS Lomza
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-2 L
24/05 Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Poland III Liga
1-0 3-1 36 W
17/05 Widzew Lodz II
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-0 85 W
13/05 Jagiellonia Bialystok II
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-1 114 L
09/05 Wigry Suwalki
Poland III Liga
0-2 0-2 84 L
01/05 Bron Radom
Poland III Liga
2-1 3-2 105 W
25/04 Olimpia Elblag
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-0 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KTS Weszlo vs Mlawianka Mlawa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KTS Weszlo win (46%). Probabilities: KTS Weszlo 46%, draw 24%, Mlawianka Mlawa 30%.

How many goals are expected in KTS Weszlo vs Mlawianka Mlawa?

The model expects 3.28 goals (KTS Weszlo 1.83 · Mlawianka Mlawa 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KTS Weszlo vs Mlawianka Mlawa?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.