Football · Poland III Liga · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: KTS Weszlo vs Olimpia Zambrow

Team pages: KTS Weszlo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.98Total
KTS Weszlo2.78
Olimpia Zambrow1.2
1X2
69% 18% 13%
KTS Weszlo Draw Olimpia Zambrow
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
KTS Weszlo 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWDWWWD
Olimpia Zambrow 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWWLLDDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KTS Weszlo 1612 · Olimpia Zambrow 1466
KTS WeszloDrawOlimpia Zambrow
Our model70%17%13%
Market69%18%13%
Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KTS Weszlo (rating 1612 vs 1466).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KTS WeszloOlimpia Zambrow
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 0.72 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.40.9 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%30/0/70%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.71.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.13.6 / 0.4

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 10820 16326
2 KSZO Ostrowiec 10541 15819
3 Czarni Polaniec 10613 171519
4 Wisloka Debica 10613 141219
5 JKS Jaroslaw 10523 261717
6 Wislanie Jaskowice 10523 151017
7 Naprzod Jedrzejow 10523 242017
8 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 10424 131314
9 Hetman Zamosc 10343 181813
10 Wisla Krakow II 10343 131313
11 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 10262 101012
12 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 11335 101312
13 Star Starachowice 11254 131711
14 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 10325 142111
15 Korona Kielce II 10226 21268
16 Wieczysta Krakow II 10226 9148
17 Moravia Morawica 10217 11207
18 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 10217 10197

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKTS WeszloOlimpia Zambrow
Polonia Lidzbark 1-1 D 3-2 W
Olimpia Elblag 2-1 W 1-2 L
MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 1-0 W 0-4 L
Zabkovia Zabki 2-0 W 5-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KTS Weszlo

WWWWWDWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Polonia Lidzbark
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-1 –– D
19/09 Olimpia Elblag
Poland III Liga
0-1 2-1 74 W
12/09 MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-0 94 W
05/09 Zabkovia Zabki
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-0 33 W
29/08 CK Troszyn
Poland III Liga
3-2 3-3 74 D
23/08 Jagiellonia Bialystok II
Poland III Liga
1-0 4-0 15 W
19/08 LKS Lodz II
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-0 23 W
14/08 Mlawianka Mlawa
Poland III Liga
2-0 5-1 55 W
08/08 LKS Lomza
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-0 23 W
31/07 Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Poland III Liga
2-1 2-1 65 W

Olimpia Zambrow

WLLWWLLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Pelikan Lowicz
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-3 97 L
19/09 Warta Sieradz
Poland III Liga
1-2 2-2 54 D
12/09 Wigry Suwalki
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-1 54 D
05/09 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Poland III Liga
0-2 0-5 02 L
30/08 Widzew Lodz II
Poland III Liga
1-2 3-4 33 L
23/08 Wisla Plock II
Poland III Liga
2-1 4-3 23 W
19/08 Polonia Lidzbark
Poland III Liga
2-1 3-2 –– W
15/08 Olimpia Elblag
Poland III Liga
1-2 1-2 –– L
08/08 MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki
Poland III Liga
0-3 0-4 42 L
01/08 Zabkovia Zabki
Poland III Liga
2-0 5-0 47 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KTS Weszlo vs Olimpia Zambrow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KTS Weszlo win (69%). Probabilities: KTS Weszlo 69%, draw 18%, Olimpia Zambrow 13%.

How many goals are expected in KTS Weszlo vs Olimpia Zambrow?

The model expects 3.98 goals (KTS Weszlo 2.78 · Olimpia Zambrow 1.2), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KTS Weszlo vs Olimpia Zambrow?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.