Football · Poland III Liga · 10/10, 19:00

Prediction: Odra Bytom Odrzanski vs Zaglebie Lubin II

Team pages: Zaglebie Lubin II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Odra Bytom Odrzanski1.28

Zaglebie Lubin II1.28

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Odra Bytom Odrzanski Draw Zaglebie Lubin II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Odra Bytom Odrzanski 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Zaglebie Lubin II 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Odra Bytom Odrzanski 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin II (1 last)

Zaglebie Lubin II0-1Odra Bytom Odrzanski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odra Bytom Odrzanski 1552 · Zaglebie Lubin II 1550

	Odra Bytom Odrzanski	Draw	Zaglebie Lubin II
Our model	35%	29%	35%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odra Bytom Odrzanski	Zaglebie Lubin II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.5	2.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6	1.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.40

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.63 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.60 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:48 +20’	2.30	3.40	2.60
23:25 +4’	2.45▲	3.40	2.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:13 +46’	2.64	3.28	2.27
10:21 +39’	2.63▼	3.27▼	2.28▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Odra Bytom Odrzanski 1–0–0 Zaglebie Lubin II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/07/26 Europe Friendlies	Zaglebie Lubin II	0-1 HT 0-0	Odra Bytom Odrzanski

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	11	8	3	0	18	5	27
2	Wisloka Debica	11	7	1	3	16	13	22
3	Wislanie Jaskowice	12	6	2	4	19	12	20
4	KSZO Ostrowiec	11	5	5	1	16	9	20
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	11	6	2	3	27	21	20
6	Czarni Polaniec	11	6	2	3	18	16	20
7	JKS Jaroslaw	11	5	2	4	27	20	17
8	Hetman Zamosc	11	3	5	3	20	20	14
9	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	11	4	2	5	17	21	14
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	15	19	14
11	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	11	2	7	2	12	12	13
12	Wisla Krakow II	11	3	4	4	13	16	13
13	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	11	3	3	5	10	13	12
14	Korona Kielce II	11	3	2	6	23	27	11
15	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	13	17	11
16	Wieczysta Krakow II	11	3	2	6	10	14	11
17	Moravia Morawica	11	2	2	7	13	22	8
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	11	2	1	8	11	21	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odra Bytom Odrzanski	Zaglebie Lubin II
Gornik Polkowice	1-0 W	1-1 D
Barycz Sulow	1-0 W	3-3 D
Carina Gubin	1-1 D	3-0 W
ROW 1964 Rybnik	3-2 W	2-2 D
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	0-0 D	1-0 W
Warta Gorzow	0-1 L	2-0 W
Miedz Legnica II	1-0 W	3-2 W
MKS Kluczbork	1-0 W	3-1 W
Rakow Czestochowa II	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 4 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Odra Bytom Odrzanski

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
26/09	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
18/09	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	6	8	W
11/09	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
29/08	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
19/08	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
15/08	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
08/08	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W

Zaglebie Lubin II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
26/09	Barycz Sulow Poland III Liga	1-2	3-3	4	3	D
18/09	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
12/09	ROW 1964 Rybnik Poland III Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/09	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
29/08	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
22/08	Miedz Legnica II Poland III Liga	3-1	3-2	3	7	W
19/08	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
16/08	Rakow Czestochowa II Poland III Liga	1-0	2-2	6	7	D
08/08	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odra Bytom Odrzanski vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Odra Bytom Odrzanski win (36%). Probabilities: Odra Bytom Odrzanski 36%, draw 28%, Zaglebie Lubin II 36%.

How many goals are expected in Odra Bytom Odrzanski vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Odra Bytom Odrzanski 1.28 · Zaglebie Lubin II 1.28), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Odra Bytom Odrzanski vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.