Football · Poland III Liga · 11/10, 14:00

Prediction: Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

Team pages: Naprzod Jedrzejow · Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Naprzod Jedrzejow1.48

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna1.21

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Naprzod Jedrzejow Draw Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Naprzod Jedrzejow 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

LLDWDDDDWD

Head-to-head

Naprzod Jedrzejow 1–1 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna (2 last)

Naprzod Jedrzejow0-1Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna0-1Naprzod Jedrzejow

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Naprzod Jedrzejow 1537 · Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1505

	Naprzod Jedrzejow	Draw	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
Our model	42%	28%	30%
Market	44%	25%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Naprzod Jedrzejow	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.7	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.1	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 6.7	2.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.60

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:59 +8’	2.05	3.60	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Naprzod Jedrzejow 1–0–1 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Poland III Liga	Naprzod Jedrzejow	0-1 HT 0-1	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
18/10/25 Poland III Liga	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	0-1 HT 0-1	Naprzod Jedrzejow

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	12	9	3	0	20	6	30
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	12	6	5	1	21	9	23
3	Wisloka Debica	12	7	2	3	16	13	23
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	12	6	2	4	19	12	20
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	11	6	2	3	27	21	20
6	Czarni Polaniec	11	6	2	3	18	16	20
7	JKS Jaroslaw	12	5	2	5	28	22	17
8	Wisla Krakow II	12	4	4	4	15	17	16
9	Korona Kielce II	12	4	2	6	27	27	14
10	Hetman Zamosc	11	3	5	3	20	20	14
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	15	19	14
12	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	12	4	2	6	17	26	14
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	11	2	7	2	12	12	13
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	12	3	3	6	11	15	12
15	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	12	3	3	6	10	17	12
16	Star Starachowice	12	2	5	5	14	19	11
17	Moravia Morawica	12	2	3	7	13	22	9
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	12	2	2	8	12	22	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Naprzod Jedrzejow	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
Chelmianka Chelm	0-2 L	0-2 L
Moravia Morawica	2-4 L	2-2 D
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	2-1 W	1-0 W
Wislanie Jaskowice	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Naprzod Jedrzejow

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
26/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	4	5	W
19/09	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	4-1	5-2	–	–	W
12/09	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
23/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
19/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
15/08	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	8	5	W
08/08	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L

Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna

LLDWDDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
26/09	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
12/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	1-0	2-2	5	6	D
04/09	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
28/08	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
23/08	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
19/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
14/08	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	13	3	L
08/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Naprzod Jedrzejow win (43%). Probabilities: Naprzod Jedrzejow 43%, draw 26%, Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 31%.

How many goals are expected in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Naprzod Jedrzejow 1.48 · Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1.21), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.