Prediction: Trefelin BGC vs Llandudno
Team pages: Trefelin BGC · Llandudno
| Trefelin BGC | Draw | Llandudno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 25% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Llandudno (rating 1529 vs 1598).
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trefelin BGC | Llandudno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 2 | 2.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/0/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.1 | 3.1 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0 |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff MU | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Colwyn Bay | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Llandudno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Briton Ferry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Airbus UK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Penybont | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | T.N.S. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Flint Town Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Ammanford AFC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Cambrian United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Connah's Quay | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Trefelin BGC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Holywell Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trefelin BGC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Bromsgrove Club Friendly List |
0-3 | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | Carmarthen UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Newport City FC Wales Championship South |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/04 | Treowen Stars Wales Championship South |
3-0 | 6-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 30/03 | Cwmbran Celtic Wales Championship South |
2-1 | 8-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 27/03 | Pontypridd Utd Wales Championship South |
2-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Cardiff Draconians Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/03 | Cambrian United Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/03 | Aberystwyth Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Llandudno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 14/07 | Rhyl UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Avro FC Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/06 | Buckley Town UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Airbus UK Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Newtown Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 5-2 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 28/03 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 14/03 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trefelin BGC vs Llandudno?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Llandudno win (42%). Probabilities: Trefelin BGC 32%, draw 26%, Llandudno 42%.
How many goals are expected in Trefelin BGC vs Llandudno?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Trefelin BGC 1.48 · Llandudno 1.71), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Trefelin BGC vs Llandudno?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.