Prediction: Trefelin BGC vs Caernarfon Town
Team pages: Trefelin BGC · Caernarfon Town
| Trefelin BGC | Draw | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| Market | 13% | 18% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trefelin BGC | Caernarfon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 2.6 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/0/40% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.8 | 2.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llandudno | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Barry Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Penybont | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | T.N.S. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Connah's Quay | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Cardiff MU | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Caernarfon Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Briton Ferry | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Colwyn Bay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | Holywell Town | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 | Trefelin BGC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trefelin BGC | Caernarfon Town |
|---|---|---|
| Connah's Quay | 0-6 L | 2-1 W |
| Colwyn Bay | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Caernarfon Town (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trefelin BGC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | Llandudno Wales Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Bromsgrove Club Friendly List |
0-3 | 0-8 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | Carmarthen UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Newport City FC Wales Championship South |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/04 | Treowen Stars Wales Championship South |
3-0 | 6-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 30/03 | Cwmbran Celtic Wales Championship South |
2-1 | 8-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 27/03 | Pontypridd Utd Wales Championship South |
2-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Cardiff Draconians Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Caernarfon Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Connah's Quay Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | FC Levadia Tallinn UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-3 | 0-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 09/07 | FC Levadia Tallinn UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Glentoran Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Penybont Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Flint Town Utd Wales Cup |
3-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/03 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trefelin BGC vs Caernarfon Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Caernarfon Town win (69%). Probabilities: Trefelin BGC 13%, draw 18%, Caernarfon Town 69%.
How many goals are expected in Trefelin BGC vs Caernarfon Town?
The model expects 3.91 goals (Trefelin BGC 1.17 · Caernarfon Town 2.74), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Trefelin BGC vs Caernarfon Town?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.