Prediction: Penybont vs Llandudno
Team pages: Penybont · Llandudno
| Penybont | Draw | Llandudno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Llandudno (rating 1507 vs 1597).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Penybont | Llandudno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 3.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.2 | 3.3 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 3 / 0.1 |
Standings · Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llandudno | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Barry Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Penybont | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | T.N.S. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Connah's Quay | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Cardiff MU | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Caernarfon Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Briton Ferry | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Colwyn Bay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 13 | Flint Town Utd | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | Holywell Town | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 | Trefelin BGC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Penybont
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | T.N.S. Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 16/07 | FC Santa Coloma UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/07 | FC Santa Coloma UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/06 | Trethomas Bluebirds AFC UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Colwyn Bay Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Caernarfon Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Barry Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Llandudno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Holywell Town Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | Trefelin BGC Wales Premier League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 14/07 | Rhyl UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Avro FC Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/06 | Buckley Town UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Airbus UK Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Newtown Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 5-2 | 14 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Penybont vs Llandudno?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Penybont win (49%). Probabilities: Penybont 49%, draw 27%, Llandudno 24%.
How many goals are expected in Penybont vs Llandudno?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Penybont 1.51 · Llandudno 0.97), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Penybont vs Llandudno?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.